Where and when is Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC played?

Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC is played on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

Atlanta United FC

Orlando City SC

The Footlab model makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Orlando City SC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC?

A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Atlanta United FC (1,731) and Orlando City SC (1,814).

Atlanta United FC win46 %

Draw23 %

Orlando City SC win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlanta United FC have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Orlando City SC have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlanta United FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 20, 2026	Minnesota United FC(away)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	New York Red Bulls(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026	Philadelphia Union(away)	2-3	Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026	New England Revolution(away)	1-4	Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026	Charlotte(away)	2-2	Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Chicago Fire(home)	1-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	FC Cincinnati(home)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atletico San Luis(home)	2-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	Leon(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026	Monterrey(away)	2-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atlanta United FC win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Orlando City SC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
May 19, 2026	Orlando City SC 4-1 Atlanta United FC	US Open Cup
May 16, 2026	Orlando City SC 1-1 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
May 28, 2025	Atlanta United FC 3-2 Orlando City SC	Major League Soccer
Apr 26, 2025	Orlando City SC 3-0 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Nov 24, 2024	Orlando City SC 1-0 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024	Orlando City SC 1-2 Atlanta United FC	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Orlando City SC vs Atlanta United FC on May 19, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlanta United FC score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Orlando City SC score 2.2 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atlanta United FC	1.3	1.8	1	11/15	10/15
Orlando City SC	2.2	2.0	2	12/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atlanta United FC sit 15th in Major League Soccer (18 points from 20 matches) and Orlando City SC sit 10th (21 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
10	Orlando City SC	20	6	3	11	32	50	21
15	Atlanta United FC	20	5	3	12	23	35	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC?: The Footlab model makes Atlanta United FC the favourite at 46%, against 23% for a draw and 31% for Orlando City SC.
Where and when is Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC played?: Atlanta United FC vs Orlando City SC is played on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Mercedes-Benz Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.