Match

CF Montreal vs Charlotte: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Stade Saputo, Montreal, Quebec

CF MontrealCharlotte

The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Charlotte. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 22, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win CF Montreal vs Charlotte?

A very open match: only 93 Elo points separate CF Montreal (1,753) and Charlotte (1,846).

CF Montreal win44 %
Draw26 %
Charlotte win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Montreal have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Charlotte have 6, 3 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

CF Montreal
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Columbus Crew(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026DC United(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026New England Revolution(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Inter Miami(home)0-1Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026Nashville SC(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Charlotte
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Toronto FC(away)3-3Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026Columbus Crew(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026CF Pachuca(home)0-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026Atlas(home)2-0Leagues Cup
Aug 5, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)3-0Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CF Montreal win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Charlotte win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2025Charlotte 1-4 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Apr 12, 2025CF Montreal 0-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Oct 5, 2024Charlotte 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
Sep 14, 2024CF Montreal 2-1 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Jul 15, 2023CF Montreal 2-0 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Jun 24, 2023Charlotte 0-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Charlotte vs CF Montreal on Sep 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

CF Montreal score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Charlotte score 1.6 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
CF Montreal1.61.348/158/15
Charlotte1.61.347/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

CF Montreal sit 14th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 20 matches) and Charlotte sit 6th (29 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
6Charlotte20857353129
14CF Montreal205510273720

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for CF Montreal vs Charlotte?
The Footlab model makes CF Montreal the favourite at 44%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Charlotte.
Where and when is CF Montreal vs Charlotte played?
CF Montreal vs Charlotte is played on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Stade Saputo, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: CF Montreal and Charlotte

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