Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati played?

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati is played on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Subaru Park, Chester, Pennsylvania

Philadelphia Union

FC Cincinnati

The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for FC Cincinnati. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?

A very open match: only 73 Elo points separate Philadelphia Union (1,819) and FC Cincinnati (1,891).

Philadelphia Union win48 %

Draw23 %

FC Cincinnati win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Philadelphia Union have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; FC Cincinnati have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Philadelphia Union
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	Inter Miami(home)	2-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026	New York City FC(away)	3-2	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2026	Santos Laguna(home)	0-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Necaxa(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026	Cruz Azul(away)	0-1	Leagues Cup

FC Cincinnati
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 19, 2026	New York City FC(home)	2-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 15, 2026	Orlando City SC(away)	1-1	Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026	Atlas(home)	1-2	Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026	U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)	2-0	Leagues Cup
Aug 4, 2026	CF Pachuca(home)	3-1	Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Philadelphia Union win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 FC Cincinnati win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Aug 30, 2025	FC Cincinnati 0-1 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025	Philadelphia Union 4-1 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Feb 7, 2025	FC Cincinnati 4-1 Philadelphia Union	Friendlies Clubs
Oct 20, 2024	Philadelphia Union 1-2 FC Cincinnati	Major League Soccer
Aug 13, 2024	FC Cincinnati 2-4 Philadelphia Union	Leagues Cup
Jun 19, 2024	FC Cincinnati 4-3 Philadelphia Union	Major League Soccer

Last archived meeting: FC Cincinnati vs Philadelphia Union on Aug 30, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Philadelphia Union score 1.8 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; FC Cincinnati score 2.7 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Philadelphia Union	1.8	1.9	2	10/15	9/15
FC Cincinnati	2.7	1.8	2	13/15	12/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Philadelphia Union sit 13th in Major League Soccer (20 points from 20 matches) and FC Cincinnati sit 5th (30 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
5	FC Cincinnati	20	8	6	6	48	46	30
13	Philadelphia Union	20	5	5	10	30	37	20

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati?: The Footlab model makes Philadelphia Union the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for FC Cincinnati.
Where and when is Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati played?: Philadelphia Union vs FC Cincinnati is played on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Subaru Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.