Match

DC United vs Columbus Crew: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC)Audi Field, Washington, District of Columbia

DC UnitedColumbus Crew

The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for DC United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win DC United vs Columbus Crew?

Columbus Crew starts as the favourite with a 149-point Elo edge (1,865 vs 1,715).

DC United win36 %
Draw26 %
Columbus Crew win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, DC United have 3 wins, 9 draws and 3 defeats; Columbus Crew have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

DC United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026CF Montreal(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 1, 2026Nashville SC(home)2-2Major League Soccer
Jul 25, 2026Toronto FC(home)2-1Major League Soccer
Jul 23, 2026Houston Dynamo(away)1-1Major League Soccer
May 23, 2026CF Montreal(home)4-4Major League Soccer
Columbus Crew
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Charlotte(away)1-3Major League Soccer
Aug 11, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas(home)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026CF Pachuca(home)2-1Leagues Cup
Aug 4, 2026Atlas(home)3-1Leagues Cup
Aug 1, 2026Inter Miami(away)2-2Major League Soccer

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 DC United win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Columbus Crew win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 19, 2025Columbus Crew 2-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Mar 29, 2025DC United 1-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Sep 28, 2024DC United 2-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Apr 6, 2024Columbus Crew 1-1 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer
Apr 8, 2023DC United 0-2 Columbus CrewMajor League Soccer
Mar 5, 2023Columbus Crew 2-0 DC UnitedMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Columbus Crew vs DC United on Jul 19, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

DC United score 1.7 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Columbus Crew score 1.7 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
DC United1.71.9211/159/15
Columbus Crew1.71.5212/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

DC United sit 9th in Major League Soccer (24 points from 19 matches) and Columbus Crew sit 11th (20 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9DC United19595273024
11Columbus Crew19559273120

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for DC United vs Columbus Crew?
The Footlab model makes Columbus Crew the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for DC United.
Where and when is DC United vs Columbus Crew played?
DC United vs Columbus Crew is played on September 9, 2026 at 11:30 PM (UTC) at Audi Field, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: DC United and Columbus Crew

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