Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The Footlab model makes Atlante FC the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for CF Pachuca. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Atlante FC (1,927) and CF Pachuca (1,938).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlante FC have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; CF Pachuca have 7, 0 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 0-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 18, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 2-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Charlotte(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Columbus Crew(away) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 4, 2026 | FC Cincinnati(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Atlante FC win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 CF Pachuca win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2025 | CF Pachuca 0-4 Atlante FC | Friendlies Clubs |
Last archived meeting: CF Pachuca vs Atlante FC on Dec 23, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Atlante FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; CF Pachuca score 1.4 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlante FC | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| CF Pachuca | 1.4 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atlante FC sit 10th in Liga MX (4 points from 3 matches) and CF Pachuca sit 13th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | CF Pachuca | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | CF Pachuca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca?
- The Footlab model makes Atlante FC the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for CF Pachuca.
- Where and when is Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca played?
- Atlante FC vs CF Pachuca is played on September 12, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.