Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 8Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Caliente, Tijuana
The Footlab model makes Club Tijuana the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Club Queretaro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro?
A very open match: only 55 Elo points separate Club Tijuana (1,898) and Club Queretaro (1,843).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Tijuana have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Club Queretaro have 6, 5 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(away) | 2-5 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Cruz Azul(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Portland Timbers(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Austin(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Dallas(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Club Tijuana win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Club Queretaro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | Club Queretaro 1-2 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Jul 12, 2025 | Club Tijuana 1-0 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Jan 25, 2025 | Club Tijuana 2-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Jul 6, 2024 | Club Queretaro 1-2 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
| Feb 10, 2024 | Club Tijuana 1-1 Club Queretaro | Liga MX |
| Oct 22, 2023 | Club Queretaro 1-0 Club Tijuana | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Club Queretaro vs Club Tijuana on Jan 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Tijuana score 1.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club Queretaro score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Tijuana | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Club Queretaro | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Tijuana sit 2nd in Liga MX (7 points from 3 matches) and Club Queretaro sit 7th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 3 | Club Tijuana | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
| 7 | Club Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 9 | Club Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro?
- The Footlab model makes Club Tijuana the favourite at 45%, against 26% for a draw and 29% for Club Queretaro.
- Where and when is Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro played?
- Club Tijuana vs Club Queretaro is played on September 12, 2026 at 02:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Caliente, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.