Cruz Azul vs Club America: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 8Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The Footlab model makes Cruz Azul the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Club America. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cruz Azul vs Club America?
A very open match: only 23 Elo points separate Cruz Azul (2,040) and Club America (2,017).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cruz Azul have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Club America have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Atlas(home) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Club Tijuana(away) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Chicago Fire(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | New York City FC(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(home) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cruz Azul win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Club America win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2026 | Club America 1-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Oct 19, 2025 | Cruz Azul 2-1 Club America | Liga MX |
| May 19, 2025 | Club America 2-1 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| May 16, 2025 | Cruz Azul 1-0 Club America | Liga MX |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Club America 0-0 Cruz Azul | Liga MX |
| Apr 9, 2025 | Cruz Azul 2-1 Club America | CONCACAF Champions League |
Last archived meeting: Club America vs Cruz Azul on Apr 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Club America score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Azul | 1.7 | 1.3 | 3 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Club America | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cruz Azul sit 6th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Club America sit 1st (7 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 1 | Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 6 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cruz Azul vs Club America?
- The Footlab model makes Cruz Azul the favourite at 44%, against 27% for a draw and 29% for Club America.
- Where and when is Cruz Azul vs Club America played?
- Cruz Azul vs Club America is played on September 13, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.