CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estádio do Restelo, Lisboa
The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Mafra. The most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,496 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?
CF Os Belenenses starts as the favourite with a 103-point Elo edge (2,072 vs 1,969).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
CF Os Belenenses
4-3-3- 23Bruninho
- 33Chamito
- 27Evandro Barros
- 17Diogo Leitão
- 21T. Morgado
- 14A. Afonso
- 4Nuno Tomás
- 58David Monteiro
- 66Cesinha
- 15João Lucas
- 99Guilherme Oliveira
Mafra
4-3-3- 9Mamor Niang
- 7R. Matos
- 11Leandro Alves
- 46Braima Samú
- 37A. Ba
- 8L. Neves
- 2M. Camara
- 3Kauê Alves
- 13Celso Raposo
- 15João Silva
- 1Francisco Lemos
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CF Os Belenenses have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Mafra have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Oliveirense(away) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 25, 2026 | SC Covilha(home) | 1-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Arouca(home) | 3-4 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mafra(away) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Beira-Mar(away) | 2-0 | Taça de Portugal |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 2-1 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Caldas(away) | 3-3 | Liga 3 |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Santa Clara(home) | 3-2 | Taça de Portugal |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(home) | 2-2 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Tirsense(home) | 2-2 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 CF Os Belenenses wins, 3 draws, 0 Mafra wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Mafra 2-2 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| May 16, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses 3-1 Mafra | Liga 3 |
| Mar 22, 2026 | Mafra 1-4 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Nov 9, 2025 | CF Os Belenenses 2-1 Mafra | Liga 3 |
| Aug 9, 2025 | Mafra 1-1 CF Os Belenenses | Liga 3 |
| Feb 2, 2024 | Mafra 1-1 CF Os Belenenses | Segunda Liga |
Last archived meeting: Mafra vs CF Os Belenenses on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CF Os Belenenses score 1.9 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Mafra score 2.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 62% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CF Os Belenenses | 1.9 | 1.3 | 5 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Mafra | 2.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CF Os Belenenses sit 1st in Liga 3 (20 points from 8 matches) and Mafra sit 3rd (12 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 18 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Mafra | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 11 | 12 |
A question about CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra?
- The Footlab AI model makes CF Os Belenenses the favourite at 62%, against 21% for a draw and 17% for Mafra.
- Where and when is CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra played?
- CF Os Belenenses vs Mafra is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estádio do Restelo, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 62% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.