Caldas vs Atlético CP: prediction and stats
Liga 3Regular Season - 15Kick-off on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo da Mata, Caldas da Rainha
The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Caldas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atlético CP wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,403 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Caldas vs Atlético CP?
Atlético CP starts as the favourite with a 138-point Elo edge (2,032 vs 1,894).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Caldas vs Atlético CP
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Caldas
4-3-3- 17Goncas
- 9G. Chaves
- 77G. Pio
- 80M. Palmerio
- 5R. Correia
- 22T. Serrazina
- 3Nando
- 20G. Lourenco
- 56Caio Amaral
- 25L. Farinha
- 12D. Almeida
Atlético CP
4-3-3- 11H. Suker
- 38Caio Santana
- 20Edgar Pacheco
- 10Caleb
- 18Ricardo Dias
- 28Mohamed Konate
- 5V. Durand
- 2J. Martins
- 33A. Calegari
- 4D. Henriques
- 22N. Hidalgo
Computed on October 15, 2026 at 05:07 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Caldas have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Atlético CP have 9, 1 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético CP(away) | 1-4 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Vitória de Sernache(home) | 2-0 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 4, 2026 | União Santarém(away) | 1-0 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sintrense(home) | 1-3 | Taça de Portugal |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Louletano(home) | 2-4 | Liga 3 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Caldas(home) | 4-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lagoa(home) | 4-1 | Taça de Portugal |
| Sep 13, 2026 | CF Os Belenenses(away) | 0-1 | Liga 3 |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Oliveirense(home) | 3-1 | Liga 3 |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Olímpico do Montijo(away) | 4-0 | Taça de Portugal |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Caldas wins, 1 draw, 5 Atlético CP wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Atlético CP 4-1 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Atlético CP 2-0 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Mar 14, 2026 | Caldas 0-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Dec 7, 2025 | Caldas 0-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Atlético CP 2-0 Caldas | Liga 3 |
| Jan 19, 2025 | Caldas 1-1 Atlético CP | Liga 3 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético CP vs Caldas on Oct 11, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Caldas score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Atlético CP score 1.7 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 48% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caldas | 1.0 | 1.5 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlético CP | 1.7 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Caldas sit 7th in Liga 3 (7 points from 6 matches) and Atlético CP sit 2nd (13 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Atlético CP | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Caldas | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 7 |
A question about Caldas vs Atlético CP?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Caldas vs Atlético CP?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atlético CP the favourite at 53%, against 26% for a draw and 21% for Caldas.
- Where and when is Caldas vs Atlético CP played?
- Caldas vs Atlético CP is played on January 10, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo da Mata, in the Liga 3.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.