Where and when is Turégano vs Burgos Promesas played?

Turégano vs Burgos Promesas is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Turégano vs Burgos Promesas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 8Group 8 - 27Kick-off on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC)

Turégano

Burgos Promesas

The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Burgos Promesas. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 27, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Turégano vs Burgos Promesas?

A very open match: only 80 Elo points separate Turégano (1,738) and Burgos Promesas (1,818).

Turégano win44 %

Draw28 %

Burgos Promesas win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 3 matches in all competitions, Turégano have 1 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats; Burgos Promesas have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Turégano
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Nov 1, 2023	Celta Vigo(home)	0-4	Copa del Rey
Oct 12, 2023	Santurtzi(home)	3-1	Copa del Rey
Oct 19, 2022	Velarde(away)	0-1	Copa del Rey

Burgos Promesas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Real Valladolid II(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 26, 2026	Salamanca UDS(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 18, 2026	Atlético Astorga(away)	0-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 12, 2026	Coruxo(home)	1-0	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
Apr 5, 2026	Deportivo La Coruña II(home)	1-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 1

How many goals should we expect?

Turégano score 1.0 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 3; Burgos Promesas score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Turégano	1.0	2.0	0	1/3	2/3
Burgos Promesas	1.0	1.5	5	7/15	6/15

Over the last 3 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Turégano vs Burgos Promesas?: The Footlab model makes Turégano the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Burgos Promesas.
Where and when is Turégano vs Burgos Promesas played?: Turégano vs Burgos Promesas is played on March 21, 2027 at 05:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.