Atletico-MG vs Fluminense: result 3-1 and analysis
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 12, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Arena MRV, Belo Horizonte, Minas Gerais
Full time
What was the result of Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?
Atletico-MG won 3-1 on September 12, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 61′ReinierAtletico-MG
- 63′T. CuelloAtletico-MG
- 81′VitãoAtletico-MG
- 90′R. CastilloFluminense
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Atletico-MG win at 47%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 3-1.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Atletico-MG vs Fluminense
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Atletico-MG
4-2-3-1- 19Reinier
- 11Bernard
- 7Fred
- 28T. Cuello
- 15K. Castaño
- 21A. Franco
- 36K. Pascini
- 14Vitor Hugo
- 40Vitão
- 2Natanael
- 1Gabriel Delfim
Fluminense
4-4-2- 32L. Acosta
- 19R. Castillo
- 11J. Savarino
- 16Nonato
- 94Otávio
- 17A. Canobbio
- 13Guilherme Arana
- 22J. Freytes
- 21Igor Rabello
- 46Julio Fidelis
- 1Fábio
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico-MG have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; Fluminense have 5, 9 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 9, 2026 | Santos(away) | 0-2 | CONMEBOL Sudamericana |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Sao Paulo(away) | 0-2 | Serie A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 2-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Vitoria(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 1-1 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Platense(home) | 2-0 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vasco DA Gama(home) | 1-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Atletico Paranaense(away) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Remo(home) | 2-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Independ. Rivadavia(away) | 1-1 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Atletico-MG wins, 0 draws, 4 Fluminense wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Fluminense 1-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Fluminense 3-0 Atletico-MG | Serie A |
| May 11, 2025 | Atletico-MG 3-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
| Sep 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG 2-0 Fluminense | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Sep 18, 2024 | Fluminense 1-0 Atletico-MG | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 25, 2024 | Atletico-MG 0-2 Fluminense | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Fluminense vs Atletico-MG on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico-MG score 1.2 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Fluminense score 1.3 and concede 1.0.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico-MG | 1.2 | 0.9 | 6 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Fluminense | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 10/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico-MG sit 7th in Serie A (47 points from 30 matches) and Fluminense sit 4th (51 points from 30 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Fluminense | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 48 | 37 | 51 |
| 7 | Atletico-MG | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 41 | 35 | 47 |
A question about Atletico-MG vs Fluminense?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy