Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional: prediction and stats
Serie ARegular Season - 27Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Arena Condá, Chapecó, Santa Catarina
The Footlab model makes Internacional the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Chapecoense-sc. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 19, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional?
Internacional starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,910 vs 1,789).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chapecoense-sc have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Internacional have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | Bahia(home) | 3-3 | Serie A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Coritiba(away) | 1-2 | Serie A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Cruzeiro(away) | 0-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Cruzeiro(home) | 0-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Santos(away) | 2-2 | Serie A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Remo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Palmeiras(away) | 0-0 | Serie A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Corinthians(away) | 1-2 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Corinthians(home) | 2-0 | Copa Do Brasil |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Flamengo(home) | 1-1 | Serie A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Chapecoense-sc win(s), 0 draw(s), 4 Internacional win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | Internacional 2-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Oct 10, 2021 | Internacional 5-2 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Jun 24, 2021 | Chapecoense-sc 1-2 Internacional | Serie A |
| Sep 22, 2019 | Internacional 1-0 Chapecoense-sc | Serie A |
| Apr 27, 2019 | Chapecoense-sc 2-0 Internacional | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2018 | Chapecoense-sc 2-1 Internacional | Serie A |
Last archived meeting: Internacional vs Chapecoense-sc on Mar 22, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chapecoense-sc score 1.2 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Internacional score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapecoense-sc | 1.2 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
| Internacional | 1.5 | 1.4 | 3 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chapecoense-sc sit 20th in Serie A (11 points from 22 matches) and Internacional sit 16th (24 points from 23 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Internacional | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 28 | 24 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 46 | 11 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional the favourite at 46%, against 27% for a draw and 27% for Chapecoense-sc.
- Where and when is Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional played?
- Chapecoense-sc vs Internacional is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Arena Condá, in the Serie A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.