Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Aurinegro, Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero
The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Godoy Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz?
A very open match: only 82 Elo points separate Atletico Mitre (1,710) and Godoy Cruz (1,792).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Mitre have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Godoy Cruz have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Defensores De Belgrano(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Ciudad de Bolívar(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(away) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Central Norte(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Atletico Mitre win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Godoy Cruz win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Godoy Cruz 2-1 Atletico Mitre | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Mitre on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico Mitre score 1.0 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Godoy Cruz score 1.4 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico Mitre | 1.0 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Godoy Cruz | 1.4 | 1.1 | 3 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico Mitre sit 12th in Primera Nacional (29 points from 26 matches) and Godoy Cruz sit 6th (40 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Godoy Cruz | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 29 | 22 | 40 |
| 12 | Atletico Mitre | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz?
- The Footlab model makes Atletico Mitre the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Godoy Cruz.
- Where and when is Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz played?
- Atletico Mitre vs Godoy Cruz is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Aurinegro, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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