Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Abel Sastre, Puerto Madryn, Provincia de Chubut
The Footlab model makes Deportivo Madryn the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for San Telmo. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo?
Deportivo Madryn starts as the favourite with a 174-point Elo edge (1,846 vs 1,672).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Madryn have 7 wins, 6 draws and 2 defeats; San Telmo have 2, 6 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 25, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(home) | 4-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | All Boys(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Miguel(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Deportivo Madryn win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Telmo win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Telmo 0-0 Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 15, 2024 | Deportivo Madryn 1-0 San Telmo | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 28, 2024 | San Telmo 2-1 Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional |
| May 6, 2022 | San Telmo 2-1 Deportivo Madryn | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 5, 2021 | San Telmo 0-0 Deportivo Madryn | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: San Telmo vs Deportivo Madryn on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Madryn score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; San Telmo score 0.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 36% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Madryn | 1.5 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| San Telmo | 0.6 | 1.1 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Madryn sit 5th in Primera Nacional (40 points from 25 matches) and San Telmo sit 17th (24 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Deportivo Madryn | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 36 | 24 | 40 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 29 | 24 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo?
- The Footlab model makes Deportivo Madryn the favourite at 73%, against 19% for a draw and 8% for San Telmo.
- Where and when is Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo played?
- Deportivo Madryn vs San Telmo is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Abel Sastre, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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