Match

Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires

Ferro Carril OesteChaco For Ever

The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Chaco For Ever. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever?

A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Ferro Carril Oeste (1,815) and Chaco For Ever (1,722).

Ferro Carril Oeste win58 %
Draw26 %
Chaco For Ever win16 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferro Carril Oeste have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Chaco For Ever have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ferro Carril Oeste
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026All Boys(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Atlanta(home)3-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Los Andes(away)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Godoy Cruz(home)1-3Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Deportivo Moron(away)0-4Primera Nacional
Chaco For Ever
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Los Andes(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 16, 2026Gimnasia Jujuy(away)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026Godoy Cruz(away)1-2Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Deportivo Moron(home)2-0Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Colon Santa Fe(away)1-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ferro Carril Oeste win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chaco For Ever win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Chaco For Ever 1-2 Ferro Carril OestePrimera Nacional
Aug 27, 2023Chaco For Ever 4-2 Ferro Carril OestePrimera Nacional
Apr 16, 2023Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 Chaco For EverPrimera Nacional
Jun 27, 2022Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Chaco For EverPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Chaco For Ever vs Ferro Carril Oeste on Jun 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chaco For Ever score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ferro Carril Oeste1.40.977/158/15
Chaco For Ever0.90.956/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st in Primera Nacional (52 points from 26 matches) and Chaco For Ever sit 16th (25 points from 25 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Ferro Carril Oeste261646322352
16Chaco For Ever256712222925

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever?
The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Chaco For Ever.
Where and when is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever played?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ferro Carril Oeste and Chaco For Ever

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