Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, Capital Federal, Ciudad de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Chaco For Ever. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever?
A very open match: only 94 Elo points separate Ferro Carril Oeste (1,815) and Chaco For Ever (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ferro Carril Oeste have 12 wins, 1 draws and 2 defeats; Chaco For Ever have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | All Boys(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Los Andes(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 0-4 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Ferro Carril Oeste win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Chaco For Ever win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Chaco For Ever 1-2 Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 27, 2023 | Chaco For Ever 4-2 Ferro Carril Oeste | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 16, 2023 | Ferro Carril Oeste 2-1 Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 27, 2022 | Ferro Carril Oeste 0-0 Chaco For Ever | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Chaco For Ever vs Ferro Carril Oeste on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ferro Carril Oeste score 1.4 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Chaco For Ever score 0.9 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Carril Oeste | 1.4 | 0.9 | 7 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Chaco For Ever | 0.9 | 0.9 | 5 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ferro Carril Oeste sit 1st in Primera Nacional (52 points from 26 matches) and Chaco For Ever sit 16th (25 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 26 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 32 | 23 | 52 |
| 16 | Chaco For Ever | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 22 | 29 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever?
- The Footlab model makes Ferro Carril Oeste the favourite at 58%, against 26% for a draw and 16% for Chaco For Ever.
- Where and when is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever played?
- Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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