Match

Almagro vs Tristan Suarez: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Tres de Febrero, Tres de Febrero, Provincia de Buenos Aires

AlmagroTristan Suarez

The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 34% for Almagro, 35% for a draw, 31% for Tristan Suarez. The most likely score is 0-0.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,713 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?

On Elo ratings, Almagro has 1,741 points and Tristan Suarez 1,894.

34%35%31%
Almagro winDrawTristan Suarez win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Almagro vs Tristan Suarez

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Almagro

4-3-3
  1. 9F. De La Vega
  2. 8E. Martínez
  3. 19J. Orlando
  1. 10F. Bustamante
  2. 11T. Macies
  3. 5J. Vitale
  1. 6B. Negro
  2. 2S. Chamorro
  3. 4G. Asís
  4. 3E. Silcan
  1. 1E. González

Tristan Suarez

4-2-3-1
  1. 9R. Conechny
  1. 8N. Del Priore
  2. 10D. Becker
  3. 5M. Enrique
  4. 5N. Sánchez
  5. 18K. Colli
  1. 2M. Guzmán
  2. 4B. Aguilar
  3. 6A. Baldi
  4. 7M. Guillén
  1. 1J. Bigo

Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:01 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almagro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tristan Suarez have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almagro
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 10, 2026Chacarita Juniors(home)2-1Primera Nacional
Oct 4, 2026San Martin S.J.(away)2-1Primera Nacional
Sep 27, 2026Nueva Chicago(home)0-1Primera Nacional
Sep 19, 2026Temperley(away)1-3Primera Nacional
Sep 12, 2026Deportivo Maipu(home)2-2Primera Nacional
Tristan Suarez
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 17, 2026Patronato(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Oct 10, 2026Colegiales(away)0-0Primera Nacional
Oct 3, 2026Quilmes(home)0-0Primera Nacional
Sep 27, 2026Midland(away)1-0Primera Nacional
Sep 21, 2026Atlanta(home)0-0Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almagro win, 2 draws, 3 Tristan Suarez wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 6, 2026Tristan Suarez 0-0 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
Jun 21, 2025Almagro 0-1 Tristan SuarezPrimera Nacional
Feb 15, 2025Tristan Suarez 2-1 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
Mar 11, 2022Almagro 1-0 Tristan SuarezPrimera Nacional
Jul 23, 2021Tristan Suarez 1-1 AlmagroPrimera Nacional
Mar 16, 2021Almagro 1-3 Tristan SuarezPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Tristan Suarez vs Almagro on Jun 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tristan Suarez score 1.1 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Almagro1.01.338/157/15
Tristan Suarez1.10.3123/153/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Almagro sit 12th in Primera Nacional (41 points from 33 matches) and Tristan Suarez sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
1Tristan Suarez3416144331562
12Almagro3311814303941

A question about Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 34% for Almagro, 35% for a draw, 31% for Tristan Suarez.
Where and when is Almagro vs Tristan Suarez played?
Almagro vs Tristan Suarez is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tres de Febrero, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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