Almagro vs Tristan Suarez: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Estadio Tres de Febrero, Tres de Febrero, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 34% for Almagro, 35% for a draw, 31% for Tristan Suarez. The most likely score is 0-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.5% of the 2,664 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?
On Elo ratings, Almagro has 1,741 points and Tristan Suarez 1,894.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Almagro vs Tristan Suarez
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Almagro
4-3-3- 9F. De La Vega
- 8E. Martínez
- 19J. Orlando
- 10F. Bustamante
- 11T. Macies
- 5J. Vitale
- 6B. Negro
- 2S. Chamorro
- 4G. Asís
- 3E. Silcan
- 1E. González
Tristan Suarez
4-2-3-1- 9R. Conechny
- 8N. Del Priore
- 10D. Becker
- 5M. Enrique
- 5N. Sánchez
- 18K. Colli
- 2M. Guzmán
- 4B. Aguilar
- 6A. Baldi
- 7M. Guillén
- 1J. Bigo
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 11:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almagro have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Tristan Suarez have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Temperley(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Deportivo Maipu(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Quilmes(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Midland(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Almagro win, 2 draws, 3 Tristan Suarez wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Tristan Suarez 0-0 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 21, 2025 | Almagro 0-1 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Tristan Suarez 2-1 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 11, 2022 | Almagro 1-0 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 23, 2021 | Tristan Suarez 1-1 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 16, 2021 | Almagro 1-3 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Tristan Suarez vs Almagro on Jun 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Tristan Suarez score 1.1 and concede 0.3. The model gives a 25% probability of over 2.5 goals and 34% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almagro | 1.0 | 1.3 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Tristan Suarez | 1.1 | 0.3 | 12 | 3/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Almagro sit 12th in Primera Nacional (41 points from 33 matches) and Tristan Suarez sit 1st (62 points from 34 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 34 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 33 | 15 | 62 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 39 | 41 |
A question about Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Almagro vs Tristan Suarez?
- The Footlab AI model calls this one tight: 34% for Almagro, 35% for a draw, 31% for Tristan Suarez.
- Where and when is Almagro vs Tristan Suarez played?
- Almagro vs Tristan Suarez is played on October 24, 2026 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Estadio Tres de Febrero, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 25% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.5% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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