Match

Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe: prediction and stats

Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, Bolívar, Provincia de Buenos Aires

Ciudad de BolívarColon Santa Fe

The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ciudad de Bolívar. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?

A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Ciudad de Bolívar (1,770) and Colon Santa Fe (1,781).

Ciudad de Bolívar win35 %
Draw29 %
Colon Santa Fe win36 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Bolívar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Colon Santa Fe have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Ciudad de Bolívar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Racing Cordoba(home)1-1Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Agropecuario(away)0-1Primera Nacional
Aug 8, 2026Almirante Brown(away)0-2Primera Nacional
Aug 2, 2026Atletico Mitre(home)0-2Primera Nacional
Jul 25, 2026CA Estudiantes(away)2-1Primera Nacional
Colon Santa Fe
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026San Miguel(away)2-1Primera Nacional
Aug 15, 2026Patronato(home)3-0Primera Nacional
Aug 9, 2026San Telmo(home)1-0Primera Nacional
Aug 1, 2026Acassuso(away)1-1Primera Nacional
Jul 26, 2026Chaco For Ever(home)0-1Primera Nacional

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Colon Santa Fe win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jun 7, 2026Colon Santa Fe 0-0 Ciudad de BolívarPrimera Nacional

Last archived meeting: Colon Santa Fe vs Ciudad de Bolívar on Jun 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colon Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Ciudad de Bolívar0.91.157/155/15
Colon Santa Fe1.50.857/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 26 matches) and Colon Santa Fe sit 3rd (45 points from 26 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Colon Santa Fe261295342045
8Ciudad de Bolívar268117222335

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?
The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ciudad de Bolívar.
Where and when is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe played?
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, in the Primera Nacional.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Ciudad de Bolívar and Colon Santa Fe

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