Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 35Kick-off on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, Bolívar, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ciudad de Bolívar. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?
A very open match: only 11 Elo points separate Ciudad de Bolívar (1,770) and Colon Santa Fe (1,781).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Bolívar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Colon Santa Fe have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almirante Brown(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Telmo(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Acassuso(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Colon Santa Fe win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe 0-0 Ciudad de Bolívar | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Colon Santa Fe vs Ciudad de Bolívar on Jun 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colon Santa Fe score 1.5 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 42% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Colon Santa Fe | 1.5 | 0.8 | 5 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 26 matches) and Colon Santa Fe sit 3rd (45 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Colon Santa Fe | 26 | 12 | 9 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 45 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe?
- The Footlab model makes Colon Santa Fe the favourite at 36%, against 29% for a draw and 35% for Ciudad de Bolívar.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe played?
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Colon Santa Fe is played on October 17, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 42% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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