Where and when is Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas played?

Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Atletico Nacional

Águilas Doradas

The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Águilas Doradas. The most likely score is 2-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?

Atletico Nacional starts as the favourite with a 185-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,732).

Atletico Nacional win66 %

Draw22 %

Águilas Doradas win13 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Águilas Doradas have 6, 6 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico Nacional
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 10, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Jaguares(away)	3-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Tigres FC(away)	2-0	Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2026	Tigres FC(home)	2-0	Copa Colombia

Águilas Doradas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Millonarios(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 19, 2026	Llaneros(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	2-1	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Santa Fe(home)	2-1	Primera A
May 26, 2026	Real Soacha(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Atletico Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Águilas Doradas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 7, 2026	Águilas Doradas 1-2 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Nov 8, 2025	Atletico Nacional 2-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
May 18, 2025	Águilas Doradas 2-1 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Aug 6, 2024	Atletico Nacional 1-1 Águilas Doradas	Primera A
Jun 19, 2024	Atletico Nacional 2-2 Águilas Doradas	Friendlies Clubs
Feb 4, 2024	Águilas Doradas 0-3 Atletico Nacional	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Águilas Doradas score 1.4 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atletico Nacional	1.9	0.8	6	5/15	7/15
Águilas Doradas	1.4	1.4	2	11/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Águilas Doradas sit 12th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	40
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	49	21	55
6	Águilas Doradas	4	2	2	0	6	4	8
11	Atletico Nacional	3	2	0	1	5	2	6
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26
12	Águilas Doradas	19	7	5	7	20	25	26

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas?: The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 66%, against 22% for a draw and 13% for Águilas Doradas.
Where and when is Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas played?: Atletico Nacional vs Águilas Doradas is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.