Where and when is Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC played?

Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, Montería

Jaguares

Fortaleza FC

The Footlab model makes Jaguares the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC?

A very open match: only 48 Elo points separate Jaguares (1,629) and Fortaleza FC (1,677).

Jaguares win43 %

Draw29 %

Fortaleza FC win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Jaguares have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Jaguares
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Chico(home)	1-0	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Once Caldas(home)	1-1	Primera A
Aug 5, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	0-3	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Cali(away)	0-2	Primera A

Fortaleza FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	1-2	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Cucuta(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Llaneros(away)	1-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	1-1	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 2 Jaguares win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Fortaleza FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 5, 2026	Fortaleza FC 2-1 Jaguares	Primera A
Oct 7, 2024	Fortaleza FC 3-1 Jaguares	Primera A
Mar 24, 2024	Jaguares 0-1 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Jul 3, 2016	Jaguares 1-0 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Jan 30, 2016	Fortaleza FC 1-2 Jaguares	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Fortaleza FC vs Jaguares on Mar 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Jaguares score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Jaguares	1.0	1.3	5	6/15	7/15
Fortaleza FC	1.2	1.1	4	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Jaguares sit 16th in Primera A (18 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
13	Fortaleza FC	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Jaguares	5	1	1	3	2	7	4
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18
16	Jaguares	19	5	3	11	20	33	18

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC?: The Footlab model makes Jaguares the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 27% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC played?: Jaguares vs Fortaleza FC is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Fútbol Jaraguay de Montería, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.