Match

Cucuta vs Millonarios: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta

CucutaMillonarios

The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cucuta vs Millonarios?

Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,637).

Cucuta win33 %
Draw28 %
Millonarios win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cucuta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Alianza Valledupar(home)1-0Primera A
Aug 23, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Millonarios
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Deportivo Pasto(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Junior(away)1-0Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Bucaramanga(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 18, 2026Colo Colo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cucuta win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Millonarios win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 9, 2026Millonarios 2-0 CucutaPrimera A
Nov 5, 2023Cucuta 1-1 MillonariosCopa Colombia
Nov 3, 2023Millonarios 1-0 CucutaCopa Colombia
Jan 30, 2020Cucuta 1-1 MillonariosPrimera A
Oct 3, 2019Cucuta 3-1 MillonariosPrimera A
Apr 8, 2019Millonarios 1-0 CucutaPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Cucuta on Mar 9, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cucuta0.71.366/153/15
Millonarios1.91.058/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 10th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
8Millonarios4211427
10Millonarios19757312326
10Millonarios19757312326
14Cucuta5122495
19Cucuta19379223516
19Cucuta19379223516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Millonarios?
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cucuta.
Where and when is Cucuta vs Millonarios played?
Cucuta vs Millonarios is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cucuta and Millonarios

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