Cucuta vs Millonarios: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cucuta. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cucuta vs Millonarios?
Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 178-point Elo edge (1,815 vs 1,637).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 26, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cucuta win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Millonarios win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | Millonarios 2-0 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Nov 5, 2023 | Cucuta 1-1 Millonarios | Copa Colombia |
| Nov 3, 2023 | Millonarios 1-0 Cucuta | Copa Colombia |
| Jan 30, 2020 | Cucuta 1-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Oct 3, 2019 | Cucuta 3-1 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Apr 8, 2019 | Millonarios 1-0 Cucuta | Primera A |
How many goals should we expect?
Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Millonarios | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 10th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 14 | Cucuta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Millonarios?
- The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Cucuta.
- Where and when is Cucuta vs Millonarios played?
- Cucuta vs Millonarios is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026ChicovsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 13, 2026JaguaresvsFortaleza FC
- Sep 13, 2026Internacional de BogotavsLlaneros
- Sep 13, 2026Once CaldasvsDeportivo Cali
- Sep 13, 2026Atletico NacionalvsÁguilas Doradas
- Sep 13, 2026America de CalivsDeportivo Pasto
- Sep 13, 2026Santa FevsDeportes Tolima
- Sep 13, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsJunior