Where and when is Chico vs Independiente Medellin played?

Chico vs Independiente Medellin is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chico vs Independiente Medellin: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Independencia, Tunja

Chico

Independiente Medellin

The Footlab model makes Chico the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Independiente Medellin. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chico vs Independiente Medellin?

Independiente Medellin starts as the favourite with a 240-point Elo edge (1,821 vs 1,581).

Chico win36 %

Draw30 %

Independiente Medellin win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chico have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Independiente Medellin have 8, 3 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chico
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Jaguares(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-7	Primera A
May 27, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Copa Colombia
May 23, 2026	Millonarios(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Independiente Medellin
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Cucuta(home)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Deportes Tolima(away)	3-2	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Cali(home)	1-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Vasco DA Gama(away)	0-1	CONMEBOL Sudamericana
Jul 25, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(home)	3-2	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chico win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Independiente Medellin win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 22, 2026	Independiente Medellin 2-0 Chico	Primera A
Jul 20, 2025	Chico 2-0 Independiente Medellin	Primera A
Feb 2, 2025	Independiente Medellin 3-0 Chico	Primera A
Oct 26, 2024	Independiente Medellin 3-0 Chico	Copa Colombia
Oct 23, 2024	Chico 1-4 Independiente Medellin	Copa Colombia
Aug 1, 2024	Independiente Medellin 1-0 Chico	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Independiente Medellin vs Chico on Apr 22, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Independiente Medellin score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chico	0.8	1.7	5	2/15	6/15
Independiente Medellin	1.3	1.1	4	8/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chico sit 18th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Independiente Medellin sit 11th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Independiente Medellin	4	3	0	1	7	5	9
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
11	Independiente Medellin	19	7	5	7	26	24	26
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
20	Chico	3	0	0	3	0	10	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chico vs Independiente Medellin?: The Footlab model makes Chico the favourite at 36%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Independiente Medellin.
Where and when is Chico vs Independiente Medellin played?: Chico vs Independiente Medellin is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.