Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, Pereira
The Footlab model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Pereira. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga?
Bucaramanga starts as the favourite with a 121-point Elo edge (1,735 vs 1,614).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportivo Pereira have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Bucaramanga have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| May 26, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| May 21, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(away) | 3-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Deportivo Pereira win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Bucaramanga win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2026 | Bucaramanga 3-0 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Deportivo Pereira 0-1 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
| Mar 14, 2025 | Bucaramanga 0-1 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Oct 13, 2024 | Bucaramanga 1-1 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| Jun 2, 2024 | Bucaramanga 3-1 Deportivo Pereira | Primera A |
| May 4, 2024 | Deportivo Pereira 1-0 Bucaramanga | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Bucaramanga vs Deportivo Pereira on Mar 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportivo Pereira score 0.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Bucaramanga score 1.5 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Pereira | 0.6 | 0.9 | 6 | 4/15 | 2/15 |
| Bucaramanga | 1.5 | 1.4 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportivo Pereira sit 20th in Primera A (10 points from 19 matches) and Bucaramanga sit 13th (23 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 4 | 9 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 16 | Deportivo Pereira | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 32 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga?
- The Footlab model makes Bucaramanga the favourite at 43%, against 30% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Pereira.
- Where and when is Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga played?
- Deportivo Pereira vs Bucaramanga is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Hernán Ramírez Villegas, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Sep 13, 2026America de CalivsDeportivo Pasto
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