Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Deportivo Cali. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Once Caldas (1,818) and Deportivo Cali (1,743).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Once Caldas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Deportivo Cali have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Jaguares(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | America de Cali(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Envigado(away) | 3-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(away) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Real Santander(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Once Caldas win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Cali win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Deportivo Cali 0-2 Once Caldas | Primera A |
| Jan 11, 2026 | Deportivo Cali 0-0 Once Caldas | Friendlies Clubs |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Deportivo Cali 1-1 Once Caldas | Primera A |
| May 25, 2025 | Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Once Caldas 4-1 Deportivo Cali | Primera A |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Deportivo Cali 0-1 Once Caldas | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 1.6 | 0.9 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Deportivo Cali | 1.5 | 0.7 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Once Caldas sit 5th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Cali sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31 | 22 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 33 | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Cali | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 16 | 27 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?
- The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Deportivo Cali.
- Where and when is Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali played?
- Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026ChicovsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 13, 2026JaguaresvsFortaleza FC
- Sep 13, 2026Internacional de BogotavsLlaneros
- Sep 13, 2026Atletico NacionalvsÁguilas Doradas
- Sep 13, 2026America de CalivsDeportivo Pasto
- Sep 13, 2026Santa FevsDeportes Tolima
- Sep 13, 2026Alianza ValleduparvsJunior
- Sep 13, 2026Deportivo PereiravsBucaramanga