Match

Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Palogrande, Manizales

Once CaldasDeportivo Cali

The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Deportivo Cali. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Once Caldas (1,818) and Deportivo Cali (1,743).

Once Caldas win43 %
Draw29 %
Deportivo Cali win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Once Caldas have 5 wins, 8 draws and 2 defeats; Deportivo Cali have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Once Caldas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Junior(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Jaguares(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 6, 2026America de Cali(home)0-1Primera A
Aug 3, 2026Santa Fe(away)2-2Primera A
Jul 30, 2026Envigado(away)3-0Copa Colombia
Deportivo Cali
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)2-2Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Deportivo Pasto(away)2-0Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)0-1Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Jaguares(home)2-0Primera A
May 24, 2026Real Santander(away)2-1Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Once Caldas win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Deportivo Cali win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 7, 2026Deportivo Cali 0-2 Once CaldasPrimera A
Jan 11, 2026Deportivo Cali 0-0 Once CaldasFriendlies Clubs
Nov 14, 2025Deportivo Cali 1-1 Once CaldasPrimera A
May 25, 2025Once Caldas 1-0 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Sep 14, 2024Once Caldas 4-1 Deportivo CaliPrimera A
Mar 2, 2024Deportivo Cali 0-1 Once CaldasPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Once Caldas on Mar 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Once Caldas1.60.949/157/15
Deportivo Cali1.50.766/154/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Once Caldas sit 5th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Cali sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Once Caldas19892312233
5Once Caldas218103332534
7Deportivo Cali4211637
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
9Deportivo Cali19766201627
9Once Caldas5131966

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali?
The Footlab model makes Once Caldas the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Deportivo Cali.
Where and when is Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali played?
Once Caldas vs Deportivo Cali is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Palogrande, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Once Caldas and Deportivo Cali

Ready to know everything about football?