Alianza Valledupar vs Junior: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar
The Footlab model makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?
Junior starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza Valledupar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 2-3 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alianza Valledupar win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Junior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2026 | Junior 1-1 Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| Oct 12, 2025 | Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Junior | Primera A |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Junior 2-0 Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2024 | Junior 2-2 Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| Feb 5, 2024 | Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Junior | Primera A |
| Sep 15, 2023 | Alianza Valledupar 1-5 Junior | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Junior vs Alianza Valledupar on Mar 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alianza Valledupar | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Junior | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Alianza Valledupar sit 17th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 17 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 17 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?
- The Footlab model makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Junior.
- Where and when is Alianza Valledupar vs Junior played?
- Alianza Valledupar vs Junior is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 13, 2026ChicovsIndependiente Medellin
- Sep 13, 2026JaguaresvsFortaleza FC
- Sep 13, 2026Internacional de BogotavsLlaneros
- Sep 13, 2026Once CaldasvsDeportivo Cali
- Sep 13, 2026Atletico NacionalvsÁguilas Doradas
- Sep 13, 2026America de CalivsDeportivo Pasto
- Sep 13, 2026Santa FevsDeportes Tolima
- Sep 13, 2026Deportivo PereiravsBucaramanga