Match

Alianza Valledupar vs Junior: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 10Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar

Alianza ValleduparJunior

The Footlab model makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?

Junior starts as the favourite with a 128-point Elo edge (1,787 vs 1,659).

Alianza Valledupar win37 %
Draw30 %
Junior win33 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Alianza Valledupar have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Alianza Valledupar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Bucaramanga(home)2-3Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Deportes Tolima(home)1-2Primera A
Jul 26, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)1-1Primera A
May 24, 2026Bucaramanga(home)2-1Copa Colombia
Junior
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 24, 2026Once Caldas(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Millonarios(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 29, 2026Barranquilla(away)3-3Copa Colombia
Jul 26, 2026Deportes Tolima(away)1-2Primera A
Jul 23, 2026Barranquilla(home)2-2Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Alianza Valledupar win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Junior win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 6, 2026Junior 1-1 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Oct 12, 2025Alianza Valledupar 0-1 JuniorPrimera A
Apr 19, 2025Junior 2-0 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Aug 4, 2024Junior 2-2 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Feb 5, 2024Alianza Valledupar 0-1 JuniorPrimera A
Sep 15, 2023Alianza Valledupar 1-5 JuniorPrimera A

Last archived meeting: Junior vs Alianza Valledupar on Mar 6, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Alianza Valledupar1.11.148/157/15
Junior1.51.539/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Alianza Valledupar sit 17th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Junior191126312435
2Junior251357382844
17Alianza Valledupar19388132717
17Alianza Valledupar4022462
17Alianza Valledupar19388132717
18Junior3012241

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Alianza Valledupar vs Junior?
The Footlab model makes Alianza Valledupar the favourite at 37%, against 30% for a draw and 33% for Junior.
Where and when is Alianza Valledupar vs Junior played?
Alianza Valledupar vs Junior is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Alianza Valledupar and Junior

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