Where and when is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali played?

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali is played on August 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Estadio Atanasio Girardot, Medellín

Atletico Nacional

Deportivo Cali

The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Deportivo Cali. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?

Atletico Nacional starts as the favourite with a 173-point Elo edge (1,916 vs 1,743).

Atletico Nacional win56 %

Draw27 %

Deportivo Cali win17 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico Nacional have 11 wins, 0 draws and 4 defeats; Deportivo Cali have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atletico Nacional
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Fortaleza FC(away)	2-1	Primera A
Aug 10, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	Jaguares(away)	3-0	Primera A
Jul 29, 2026	Tigres FC(away)	2-0	Copa Colombia
Jul 21, 2026	Tigres FC(home)	2-0	Copa Colombia

Deportivo Cali
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Internacional de Bogota(home)	2-2	Primera A
Aug 9, 2026	Deportivo Pasto(away)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Independiente Medellin(away)	0-1	Primera A
Jul 25, 2026	Jaguares(home)	2-0	Primera A
May 24, 2026	Real Santander(away)	2-1	Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Atletico Nacional win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Deportivo Cali win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 15, 2026	Deportivo Cali 1-0 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Oct 15, 2025	Atletico Nacional 2-1 Deportivo Cali	Primera A
Apr 20, 2025	Deportivo Cali 1-0 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Oct 10, 2024	Atletico Nacional 1-1 Deportivo Cali	Primera A
Feb 17, 2024	Deportivo Cali 3-2 Atletico Nacional	Primera A
Aug 6, 2023	Deportivo Cali 1-1 Atletico Nacional	Primera A

Last archived meeting: Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Nacional on Feb 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atletico Nacional score 1.9 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Cali score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Atletico Nacional	1.9	0.8	6	5/15	7/15
Deportivo Cali	1.5	0.7	6	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Atletico Nacional sit 1st in Primera A (40 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Cali sit 9th (27 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	19	13	1	5	35	15	40
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	49	21	55
7	Deportivo Cali	4	2	1	1	6	3	7
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	27
9	Deportivo Cali	19	7	6	6	20	16	27
10	Atletico Nacional	3	2	0	1	5	2	6

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali?: The Footlab model makes Atletico Nacional the favourite at 56%, against 27% for a draw and 17% for Deportivo Cali.
Where and when is Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali played?: Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Cali is played on August 27, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.