Match

Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta

CucutaAlianza Valledupar

The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar?

A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Cucuta (1,636) and Alianza Valledupar (1,659).

Cucuta win49 %
Draw28 %
Alianza Valledupar win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Cucuta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Independiente Medellin(away)1-0Primera A
Aug 19, 2026Internacional de Bogota(home)1-1Primera A
Aug 8, 2026Fortaleza FC(away)0-2Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 27, 2026Once Caldas(away)1-5Primera A
Alianza Valledupar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)0-0Primera A
Aug 9, 2026Bucaramanga(home)2-3Primera A
Aug 1, 2026Deportes Tolima(home)1-2Primera A
Jul 26, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)1-1Primera A
May 24, 2026Bucaramanga(home)2-1Copa Colombia

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cucuta win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Alianza Valledupar win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 17, 2026Alianza Valledupar 1-1 CucutaPrimera A
Feb 8, 2020Cucuta 0-2 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Oct 6, 2019Cucuta 1-1 Alianza ValleduparPrimera A
Apr 14, 2019Alianza Valledupar 0-1 CucutaPrimera A
Mar 21, 2019Alianza Valledupar 1-1 CucutaCopa Colombia
Mar 15, 2019Cucuta 2-1 Alianza ValleduparCopa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Alianza Valledupar vs Cucuta on Feb 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Cucuta0.71.366/153/15
Alianza Valledupar1.11.148/157/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Cucuta5122495
17Alianza Valledupar19388132717
17Alianza Valledupar4022462
17Alianza Valledupar19388132717
19Cucuta19379223516
19Cucuta19379223516

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar?
The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Alianza Valledupar.
Where and when is Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar played?
Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar is played on August 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Cucuta and Alianza Valledupar

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