Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio General Santander, Cúcuta
The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Alianza Valledupar. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar?
A very open match: only 22 Elo points separate Cucuta (1,636) and Alianza Valledupar (1,659).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cucuta have 3 wins, 7 draws and 5 defeats; Alianza Valledupar have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Independiente Medellin(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Internacional de Bogota(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 27, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-5 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 2-3 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| May 24, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cucuta win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Alianza Valledupar win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Feb 8, 2020 | Cucuta 0-2 Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| Oct 6, 2019 | Cucuta 1-1 Alianza Valledupar | Primera A |
| Apr 14, 2019 | Alianza Valledupar 0-1 Cucuta | Primera A |
| Mar 21, 2019 | Alianza Valledupar 1-1 Cucuta | Copa Colombia |
| Mar 15, 2019 | Cucuta 2-1 Alianza Valledupar | Copa Colombia |
Last archived meeting: Alianza Valledupar vs Cucuta on Feb 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cucuta score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Alianza Valledupar score 1.1 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 41% probability of over 2.5 goals and 45% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cucuta | 0.7 | 1.3 | 6 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Alianza Valledupar | 1.1 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cucuta sit 19th in Primera A (16 points from 19 matches) and Alianza Valledupar sit 17th (17 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Cucuta | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 5 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 17 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 27 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 35 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar?
- The Footlab model makes Cucuta the favourite at 49%, against 28% for a draw and 22% for Alianza Valledupar.
- Where and when is Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar played?
- Cucuta vs Alianza Valledupar is played on August 26, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio General Santander, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 41% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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- Aug 26, 2026America de CalivsJunior
- Aug 27, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportivo Cali
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