America de Cali vs Junior: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 11:20 PM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, Santiago de Cali
The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Junior. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win America de Cali vs Junior?
A very open match: only 62 Elo points separate America de Cali (1,849) and Junior (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, America de Cali have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Junior have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Atletico Nacional(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 6, 2026 | Once Caldas(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chico(home) | 7-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Real Cartagena(away) | 1-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Once Caldas(home) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Millonarios(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Barranquilla(away) | 3-3 | Copa Colombia |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 23, 2026 | Barranquilla(home) | 2-2 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 America de Cali win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Junior win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2026 | Junior 2-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Dec 5, 2025 | Junior 2-1 America de Cali | Primera A |
| Nov 24, 2025 | America de Cali 1-1 Junior | Primera A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | America de Cali 2-1 Junior | Primera A |
| Oct 16, 2025 | America de Cali 0-1 Junior | Copa Colombia |
| Oct 3, 2025 | Junior 1-2 America de Cali | Copa Colombia |
Last archived meeting: Junior vs America de Cali on Feb 19, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
America de Cali score 1.3 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Junior score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| America de Cali | 1.3 | 0.8 | 8 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
| Junior | 1.5 | 1.5 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
America de Cali sit 4th in Primera A (33 points from 19 matches) and Junior sit 2nd (35 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | America de Cali | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 35 |
| 2 | Junior | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 44 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 15 | 33 |
| 6 | America de Cali | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 20 | 34 |
| 18 | Junior | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for America de Cali vs Junior?
- The Footlab model makes America de Cali the favourite at 55%, against 26% for a draw and 18% for Junior.
- Where and when is America de Cali vs Junior played?
- America de Cali vs Junior is played on August 26, 2026 at 11:20 PM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico Pascual Guerrero, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026BucaramangavsÁguilas Doradas
- Aug 26, 2026CucutavsAlianza Valledupar
- Aug 26, 2026Santa FevsJaguares
- Aug 26, 2026Deportivo PereiravsIndependiente Medellin
- Aug 26, 2026ChicovsFortaleza FC
- Aug 27, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportivo Cali
- Aug 27, 2026LlanerosvsMillonarios
- Aug 28, 2026Internacional de BogotavsDeportivo Pasto