Where and when is Chico vs Fortaleza FC played?

Chico vs Fortaleza FC is played on August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chico vs Fortaleza FC: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de La Independencia, Tunja

Chico

Fortaleza FC

The Footlab model makes Chico the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Fortaleza FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chico vs Fortaleza FC?

Fortaleza FC starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,687 vs 1,581).

Chico win42 %

Draw31 %

Fortaleza FC win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chico have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; Fortaleza FC have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chico
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Jaguares(away)	0-1	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Santa Fe(away)	0-2	Primera A
Aug 2, 2026	America de Cali(away)	0-7	Primera A
May 27, 2026	Llaneros(home)	0-1	Copa Colombia
May 23, 2026	Millonarios(away)	2-2	Copa Colombia

Fortaleza FC
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Atletico Nacional(home)	1-2	Primera A
Aug 8, 2026	Cucuta(home)	2-0	Primera A
Aug 4, 2026	Llaneros(away)	1-3	Primera A
Aug 1, 2026	Deportivo Pereira(home)	0-0	Primera A
Jul 26, 2026	Alianza Valledupar(away)	1-1	Primera A

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Chico win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Fortaleza FC win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 16, 2026	Fortaleza FC 2-1 Chico	Primera A
Oct 14, 2025	Fortaleza FC 1-0 Chico	Primera A
Apr 21, 2025	Chico 0-2 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Sep 1, 2024	Chico 2-2 Fortaleza FC	Primera A
Feb 23, 2024	Fortaleza FC 1-1 Chico	Primera A
Oct 29, 2022	Fortaleza FC 0-2 Chico	Primera B

Last archived meeting: Fortaleza FC vs Chico on Feb 16, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chico score 0.8 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Fortaleza FC score 1.2 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chico	0.8	1.7	5	2/15	6/15
Fortaleza FC	1.2	1.1	4	9/15	6/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chico sit 18th in Primera A (17 points from 19 matches) and Fortaleza FC sit 15th (22 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Fortaleza FC	5	1	2	2	5	6	5
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
15	Fortaleza FC	19	5	7	7	22	27	22
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
18	Chico	19	5	2	12	15	32	17
20	Chico	3	0	0	3	0	10	0

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chico vs Fortaleza FC?: The Footlab model makes Chico the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 28% for Fortaleza FC.
Where and when is Chico vs Fortaleza FC played?: Chico vs Fortaleza FC is played on August 26, 2026 at 09:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de La Independencia, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.