Llaneros vs Millonarios: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC)Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, Villavicencio
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Llaneros vs Millonarios?
Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llaneros have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 19, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(home) | 3-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Bucaramanga(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Deportivo Pereira(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| May 27, 2026 | Chico(away) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto(home) | 2-0 | Primera A |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Jul 18, 2026 | Colo Colo(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Llaneros win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Millonarios win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2026 | Millonarios 1-0 Llaneros | Copa Colombia |
| Feb 14, 2026 | Millonarios 2-1 Llaneros | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2025 | Millonarios 0-1 Llaneros | Primera A |
| Feb 12, 2025 | Llaneros 2-2 Millonarios | Primera A |
| Apr 12, 2019 | Millonarios 1-1 Llaneros | Copa Colombia |
| Mar 20, 2019 | Llaneros 1-2 Millonarios | Copa Colombia |
Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Llaneros on May 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Llaneros | 1.1 | 0.8 | 6 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Millonarios | 1.9 | 1.0 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Llaneros sit 14th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 10th (26 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Llaneros | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31 | 23 | 26 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 22 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 20 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Llaneros vs Millonarios?
- The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Llaneros.
- Where and when is Llaneros vs Millonarios played?
- Llaneros vs Millonarios is played on August 27, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 25, 2026BucaramangavsÁguilas Doradas
- Aug 26, 2026CucutavsAlianza Valledupar
- Aug 26, 2026Santa FevsJaguares
- Aug 26, 2026Deportivo PereiravsIndependiente Medellin
- Aug 26, 2026ChicovsFortaleza FC
- Aug 26, 2026America de CalivsJunior
- Aug 27, 2026Atletico NacionalvsDeportivo Cali
- Aug 28, 2026Internacional de BogotavsDeportivo Pasto