Match

Llaneros vs Millonarios: prediction and stats

Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 27, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC)Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, Villavicencio

LlanerosMillonarios

The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Llaneros. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Llaneros vs Millonarios?

Millonarios starts as the favourite with a 105-point Elo edge (1,814 vs 1,709).

Llaneros win34 %
Draw28 %
Millonarios win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Llaneros have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Millonarios have 7, 5 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Llaneros
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 19, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 4, 2026Fortaleza FC(home)3-1Primera A
Jul 31, 2026Bucaramanga(away)1-1Primera A
Jul 24, 2026Deportivo Pereira(home)1-0Primera A
May 27, 2026Chico(away)1-0Copa Colombia
Millonarios
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Águilas Doradas(away)1-1Primera A
Aug 5, 2026Deportivo Pasto(home)2-0Primera A
Aug 2, 2026Junior(away)1-0Primera A
Jul 25, 2026Bucaramanga(home)0-1Primera A
Jul 18, 2026Colo Colo(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Llaneros win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Millonarios win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 12, 2026Millonarios 1-0 LlanerosCopa Colombia
Feb 14, 2026Millonarios 2-1 LlanerosPrimera A
Jul 29, 2025Millonarios 0-1 LlanerosPrimera A
Feb 12, 2025Llaneros 2-2 MillonariosPrimera A
Apr 12, 2019Millonarios 1-1 LlanerosCopa Colombia
Mar 20, 2019Llaneros 1-2 MillonariosCopa Colombia

Last archived meeting: Millonarios vs Llaneros on May 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Llaneros score 1.1 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Millonarios score 1.9 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Llaneros1.10.866/154/15
Millonarios1.91.058/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Llaneros sit 14th in Primera A (22 points from 19 matches) and Millonarios sit 10th (26 points from 19 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
5Llaneros4220638
7Millonarios4211427
10Millonarios19757312326
10Millonarios19757312326
14Llaneros194105172022
14Llaneros194105172022

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Llaneros vs Millonarios?
The Footlab model makes Millonarios the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Llaneros.
Where and when is Llaneros vs Millonarios played?
Llaneros vs Millonarios is played on August 27, 2026 at 11:10 PM (UTC) at Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé, in the Primera A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Llaneros and Millonarios

Ready to know everything about football?