Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima: result 1-0 and analysis
Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on September 16, 2026 at 11:15 PM (UTC)Estadio Palogrande, Manizales
Full time
What was the result of Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima?
Once Caldas won 1-0 on September 16, 2026.
Goalscorers
- 8′D. MorenoOnce Caldas
What had the model predicted before the match?
Before kick-off, the Footlab AI model gave a Once Caldas win at 45%: prediction correct. Most likely score announced: 1-1. Actual score: 1-0.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Official lineup for Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima
The starting elevens fielded at kick-off.
Once Caldas
4-2-3-1- 17D. Moreno
- 28M. Zuleta
- 20A. Roa
- 7M. Barrios
- 23A. Colorado
- 42J. Quiñónes
- 3A. Correa
- 30D. Londoño
- 16J. Castaño
- 22J. Cuesta
- 99J. Parra
Deportes Tolima
4-2-3-1- 7J. Cabezas
- 18K. Flórez
- 10L. Sánchez
- 8E. Valencia
- 14H. Martínez
- 32S. Guzmán
- 20J. Hernández
- 2A. Angulo
- 3J. Angulo
- 28E. López
- 1Neto Volpi
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Once Caldas have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Deportes Tolima have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Sep 10, 2026 | Alianza Valledupar(home) | 1-0 | Copa Colombia |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Chico(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Fortaleza FC(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Junior(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Santa Fe(away) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Llaneros(away) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cucuta(home) | 2-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 26, 2026 | Independiente del Valle(away) | 1-3 | CONMEBOL Libertadores |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Bucaramanga(home) | 0-0 | Primera A |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Once Caldas wins, 2 draws, 4 Deportes Tolima wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Deportes Tolima 2-1 Once Caldas | Primera A |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Once Caldas 0-1 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Mar 11, 2025 | Deportes Tolima 2-0 Once Caldas | Primera A |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-0 Once Caldas | Primera A |
| Nov 21, 2024 | Once Caldas 0-0 Deportes Tolima | Primera A |
| Oct 25, 2024 | Deportes Tolima 1-1 Once Caldas | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportes Tolima vs Once Caldas on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Once Caldas score 1.6 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Deportes Tolima score 1.1 and concede 1.5.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Once Caldas | 1.6 | 1.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
| Deportes Tolima | 1.1 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Once Caldas sit 8th in Primera A (27 points from 18 matches) and Deportes Tolima sit 9th (26 points from 18 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 21 | 26 |
A question about Once Caldas vs Deportes Tolima?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 26, 2026Cucuta1-0Alianza Valledupar
- Aug 26, 2026Chico0-0Fortaleza FC
- Aug 26, 2026America de Cali4-2Junior
- Aug 27, 2026Atletico Nacional2-1Deportivo Cali
- Aug 27, 2026Llaneros0-2Millonarios
- Aug 28, 2026Internacional de Bogota1-1Deportivo Pasto
- Sep 4, 2026Deportivo Pereira0-3Independiente Medellin
- Oct 13, 2026Bucaramanga1-1Águilas Doradas