Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto: prediction and stats
Primera AClausura - 7Kick-off on August 28, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC)Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá, D.C.
The Footlab model makes Internacional de Bogota the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Pasto. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Internacional de Bogota (1,648) and Deportivo Pasto (1,666).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Internacional de Bogota have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Deportivo Pasto have 3, 1 and 11.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(away) | 2-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Cucuta(away) | 1-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Tolima(away) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Jaguares(home) | 1-0 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Internacional Palmira(away) | 2-1 | Copa Colombia |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Llaneros(home) | 0-1 | Primera A |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Deportivo Cali(home) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Millonarios(away) | 0-2 | Primera A |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Águilas Doradas(home) | 1-2 | Primera A |
| Jul 29, 2026 | Bogota FC(away) | 3-0 | Copa Colombia |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Internacional de Bogota win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Deportivo Pasto win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Deportivo Pasto 1-1 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Internacional de Bogota 0-0 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Mar 15, 2025 | Deportivo Pasto 2-1 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Nov 11, 2024 | Internacional de Bogota 2-2 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
| Apr 23, 2024 | Deportivo Pasto 2-3 Internacional de Bogota | Primera A |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Internacional de Bogota 1-0 Deportivo Pasto | Primera A |
Last archived meeting: Deportivo Pasto vs Internacional de Bogota on Feb 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Internacional de Bogota score 1.3 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Deportivo Pasto score 1.0 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Internacional de Bogota | 1.3 | 1.7 | 3 | 10/15 | 9/15 |
| Deportivo Pasto | 1.0 | 1.6 | 3 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Internacional de Bogota sit 8th in Primera A (28 points from 19 matches) and Deportivo Pasto sit 3rd (34 points from 19 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 25 | 34 |
| 7 | Deportivo Pasto | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 28 | 34 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26 | 26 | 28 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 28 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto?
- The Footlab model makes Internacional de Bogota the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Deportivo Pasto.
- Where and when is Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto played?
- Internacional de Bogota vs Deportivo Pasto is played on August 28, 2026 at 01:15 AM (UTC) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, in the Primera A.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
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- Aug 26, 2026America de CalivsJunior
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