Match

Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats

Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso

Atlético PasoTamaraceite

The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite?

A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,872) and Tamaraceite (1,862).

Atlético Paso win49 %
Draw30 %
Tamaraceite win21 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Atlético Paso
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
May 10, 2026Herbania(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 3, 2026Las Palmas III(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 25, 2026Panadería Pulido(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 19, 2026Telde(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Apr 12, 2026Marino(away)0-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
Tamaraceite
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 4, 2026Tenerife(away)2-3Friendlies Clubs
Jun 21, 2026Guijuelo(home)2-0Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026Guijuelo(away)1-2Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026San Fernando CD(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
May 30, 2026San Fernando CD(home)3-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Atlético Paso win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tamaraceite win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jan 18, 2026Atlético Paso 1-0 TamaraceiteTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Sep 6, 2025Tamaraceite 1-1 Atlético PasoTercera División RFEF - Group 12
Nov 17, 2019Atlético Paso 2-0 TamaraceiteTercera División RFEF - Group 12

Last archived meeting: Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite on Jan 18, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Atlético Paso1.40.496/154/15
Tamaraceite1.91.2410/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite?
The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Tamaraceite.
Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite played?
Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Atlético Paso and Tamaraceite

Ready to know everything about football?