Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite: prediction and stats
Segunda División RFEF - Group 4Group 4 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Campo Municipal de El Paso, El Paso
The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Tamaraceite. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite?
A very open match: only 10 Elo points separate Atlético Paso (1,872) and Tamaraceite (1,862).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atlético Paso have 7 wins, 8 draws and 0 defeats; Tamaraceite have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Herbania(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 3, 2026 | Las Palmas III(home) | 1-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Panadería Pulido(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 19, 2026 | Telde(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Apr 12, 2026 | Marino(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 4, 2026 | Tenerife(away) | 2-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 21, 2026 | Guijuelo(home) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Guijuelo(away) | 1-2 | Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs |
| Jun 7, 2026 | San Fernando CD(away) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| May 30, 2026 | San Fernando CD(home) | 3-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 2 Atlético Paso win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Tamaraceite win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Atlético Paso 1-0 Tamaraceite | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Sep 6, 2025 | Tamaraceite 1-1 Atlético Paso | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
| Nov 17, 2019 | Atlético Paso 2-0 Tamaraceite | Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 |
Last archived meeting: Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite on Jan 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atlético Paso score 1.4 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Tamaraceite score 1.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 39% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlético Paso | 1.4 | 0.4 | 9 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Tamaraceite | 1.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite?
- The Footlab model makes Atlético Paso the favourite at 49%, against 30% for a draw and 21% for Tamaraceite.
- Where and when is Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite played?
- Atlético Paso vs Tamaraceite is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Campo Municipal de El Paso, in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 4.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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