Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez, San Luis Potosí
The Footlab AI model makes Atletico San Luis the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Santos Laguna. The most likely score is 1-1. If Atletico San Luis wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
A very open match: only 86 Elo points separate Atletico San Luis (1,857) and Santos Laguna (1,771).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Atletico San Luis
3-4-2-1- 99F. Mora
- 21Ó. Macías
- 10S. Salles-Lamonge
- 11D. Rodríguez
- 2R. Torres
- 17A. Duarte
- 22Rafa Llorente
- 31E. Águila
- 30B. Galindo
- 18A. Cruz
- 25G. Lajud
Santos Laguna
3-4-3- 10E. Bullaude
- 77K. Palacios
- 20E. Lozano
- 3M. Cuevas
- 23F. Cáseres
- 7D. González
- 21Fran Villalba
- 25Felipe Sánchez
- 18F. Pardo
- 14E. Orona
- 1C. Acevedo
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:54 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Atletico San Luis have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Santos Laguna have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Necaxa(home) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Guadalajara Chivas(home) | 0-3 | Liga MX |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Monterrey(away) | 3-1 | Liga MX |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | CF Pachuca(home) | 1-0 | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2026 | Toluca(away) | 3-2 | Liga MX |
| Sep 14, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Cruz Azul(away) | 0-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Tigres UANL(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Atletico San Luis wins, 0 draws, 1 Santos Laguna win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2026 | Atletico San Luis 2-0 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Santos Laguna 1-4 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Santos Laguna 2-3 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Atletico San Luis 3-1 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
| Apr 29, 2024 | Santos Laguna 0-3 Atletico San Luis | Liga MX |
| Nov 11, 2023 | Atletico San Luis 0-2 Santos Laguna | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna on Apr 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Atletico San Luis score 1.5 and concede 2.0 goals per match over their last 15; Santos Laguna score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atletico San Luis | 1.5 | 2.0 | 2 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Santos Laguna | 1.1 | 1.4 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Atletico San Luis sit 13th in Liga MX (12 points from 10 matches) and Santos Laguna sit 16th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Atletico San Luis | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Santos Laguna | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 10 |
A question about Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Atletico San Luis the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Santos Laguna.
- Where and when is Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna played?
- Atletico San Luis vs Santos Laguna is played on October 11, 2026 at 11:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Alfonso Lastras Ramírez, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.