Club America vs Monterrey: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
The Footlab model makes Club America the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Monterrey. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club America vs Monterrey?
A very open match: only 77 Elo points separate Club America (2,017) and Monterrey (1,940).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club America have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Monterrey have 7, 1 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | FC Juarez(away) | 2-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Atletico San Luis(home) | 3-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Portland Timbers(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Leon(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | FC Juarez(home) | 6-1 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Nashville SC(home) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Inter Miami(away) | 2-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Orlando City SC(home) | 1-2 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Club America win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Monterrey win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Club America 1-0 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Club America 2-1 Monterrey | Liga MX |
| Nov 27, 2025 | Monterrey 2-0 Club America | Liga MX |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Monterrey 2-2 Club America | Liga MX |
| Apr 17, 2025 | Monterrey 1-0 Club America | Liga MX |
| Dec 16, 2024 | Monterrey 1-1 Club America | Liga MX |
Last archived meeting: Club America vs Monterrey on Feb 8, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club America score 1.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Monterrey score 1.8 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club America | 1.9 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Monterrey | 1.8 | 1.6 | 2 | 11/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club America sit 1st in Liga MX (7 points from 3 matches) and Monterrey sit 5th (6 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club America | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 7 |
| 1 | Club America | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 2 | 13 |
| 5 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Monterrey | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 9 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club America vs Monterrey?
- The Footlab model makes Club America the favourite at 51%, against 27% for a draw and 22% for Monterrey.
- Where and when is Club America vs Monterrey played?
- Club America vs Monterrey is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Banorte, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.