Match

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul: prediction and stats

Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on October 12, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, D.F.

U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul

The Footlab AI model makes Cruz Azul the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas. The most likely score is 1-1. If Cruz Azul wins, the most likely score is 1-2.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?

Cruz Azul starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (2,039 vs 1,931).

26%24%50%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas winDrawCruz Azul win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

4-4-2
  1. 23Juninho
  2. 14L. Herrera
  1. 18V. Arteaga
  2. 21U. Antuna
  3. 45P. Vite
  4. 10C. Huerta
  1. 6Nathan Silva
  2. 7R. López
  3. 34Á. Azuaje
  4. 2P. Bennevendo
  1. 1K. Navas

Cruz Azul

5-3-2
  1. 7N. Ibáñez
  2. 21G. Fernández
  1. 19C. Rodríguez
  2. 8A. Palavecino
  3. 20J. Paradela
  1. 5J. Orozco
  2. 4W. Ditta
  3. 3O. Campos
  4. 33G. Piovi
  5. 16J. Márquez
  1. 23K. Mier

Computed on October 9, 2026 at 12:50 AM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, U.N.A.M. - Pumas have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Cruz Azul have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 27, 2026Atletico San Luis(home)2-3Liga MX
Sep 19, 2026Atlas(away)1-1Liga MX
Sep 14, 2026Guadalajara Chivas(away)0-3Liga MX
Sep 11, 2026Leon(home)3-1Liga MX
Aug 29, 2026Club Tijuana(away)0-2Liga MX
Cruz Azul
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Sep 26, 2026Toluca(home)3-3Liga MX
Sep 20, 2026Monterrey(away)0-1Liga MX
Sep 17, 2026Inter Miami(away)0-2Campeones Cup
Sep 13, 2026Club America(home)4-3Liga MX
Sep 6, 2026Santos Laguna(home)1-0Liga MX

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas win, 2 draws, 3 Cruz Azul wins.

DateScoreCompetition
May 25, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas 1-2 Cruz AzulLiga MX
May 22, 2026Cruz Azul 0-0 U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
Mar 15, 2026U.N.A.M. - Pumas 2-2 Cruz AzulLiga MX
Nov 9, 2025Cruz Azul 2-3 U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX
Oct 11, 2025Cruz Azul 2-0 U.N.A.M. - PumasFriendlies Clubs
Apr 6, 2025Cruz Azul 3-2 U.N.A.M. - PumasLiga MX

Last archived meeting: U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul on May 25, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

U.N.A.M. - Pumas score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Cruz Azul score 1.7 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.11.628/158/15
Cruz Azul1.71.6210/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 12th in Liga MX (12 points from 10 matches) and Cruz Azul sit 7th (16 points from 10 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Cruz Azul10514191816
12U.N.A.M. - Pumas10334141612

A question about U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

Ask the AI a questionOpen the full match card in the app

Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul?
The Footlab AI model makes Cruz Azul the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.
Where and when is U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul played?
U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs Cruz Azul is played on October 12, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Olímpico de Universitario, in the Liga MX.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: U.N.A.M. - Pumas and Cruz Azul

Ready to know everything about football?