Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC: prediction and stats
Liga MXApertura - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC)Estadio Corregidora, Santiago de Querétaro
The Footlab model makes Club Queretaro the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Atlante FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC?
A very open match: only 84 Elo points separate Club Queretaro (1,843) and Atlante FC (1,927).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Queretaro have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Atlante FC have 4, 4 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 1-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 16, 2026 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas(away) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 0-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 6, 2026 | FC Dallas(away) | 0-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-2 | Liga MX |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Toluca(home) | 0-0 | Liga MX |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Minnesota United FC(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 0-4 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(away) | 1-0 | Leagues Cup |
How many goals should we expect?
Club Queretaro score 1.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Atlante FC score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Queretaro | 1.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
| Atlante FC | 1.2 | 1.8 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Queretaro sit 7th in Liga MX (6 points from 3 matches) and Atlante FC sit 10th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Club Queretaro | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Club Queretaro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 | Atlante FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Atlante FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC?
- The Footlab model makes Club Queretaro the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 35% for Atlante FC.
- Where and when is Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC played?
- Club Queretaro vs Atlante FC is played on October 10, 2026 at 01:00 AM (UTC) at Estadio Corregidora, in the Liga MX.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.