Cerro Largo vs Boston River: prediction and stats
Primera DivisiónClausura - 12Kick-off on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, Melo
The Footlab AI model makes Boston River the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Cerro Largo. The most likely score is 1-1. If Boston River wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 2,630 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 18, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
A very open match: only 52 Elo points separate Cerro Largo (1,714) and Boston River (1,766).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cerro Largo vs Boston River
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cerro Largo
4-3-3- 29B. Lozano
- 7G. Viera
- 18Diego Daguerre
- 15A. Assis
- 5S. Marcel
- 10Axel Michele Pandiani
- 20S. Franca
- 17A. Hernández
- 3A. Piegas
- 19A. Prado
- 12P. González
Boston River
3-4-2-1- 9F. Bonfiglio
- 5R. Saravia
- 26F. Muñoa
- 10A. Amado
- 17Marco Oroná
- 32Y. González
- 11G. Ramírez
- 31J. Acosta
- 22F. Martínez
- 30M. González
- 1B. Antúnez
Computed on October 18, 2026 at 08:01 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cerro Largo have 1 win, 7 draws and 7 defeats; Boston River have 7, 4 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cerro(away) | 1-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Albion FC(home) | 0-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Danubio(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
| Sep 30, 2026 | Rentistas(home) | 1-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Club Nacional(home) | 0-2 | Primera División |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Defensor Sporting(home) | 1-0 | Primera División |
| Oct 14, 2026 | CA River Plate(home) | 0-0 | Copa Uruguay |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wanderers(away) | 3-1 | Primera División |
| Oct 4, 2026 | Juventud(home) | 0-0 | Primera División |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Penarol(away) | 1-2 | Primera División |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Cerro Largo wins, 1 draw, 3 Boston River wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Cerro Largo 3-0 Boston River | Primera División |
| Apr 20, 2026 | Boston River 1-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Oct 11, 2025 | Cerro Largo 2-2 Boston River | Primera División - Clausura |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Boston River 1-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
| Nov 3, 2024 | Boston River 3-0 Cerro Largo | Primera División - Clausura |
| Jun 17, 2024 | Boston River 0-2 Cerro Largo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cerro Largo vs Boston River on May 23, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cerro Largo score 0.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Boston River score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cerro Largo | 0.7 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 4/15 |
| Boston River | 1.3 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cerro Largo sit 14th in Primera División (6 points from 11 matches) and Boston River sit 10th (15 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Boston River | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 15 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 11 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 6 |
A question about Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?
- The Footlab AI model makes Boston River the favourite at 39%, against 30% for a draw and 31% for Cerro Largo.
- Where and when is Cerro Largo vs Boston River played?
- Cerro Largo vs Boston River is played on October 25, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla, in the Primera División.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.