Auda vs FS Jelgava: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Mežaparks Sports Village, Riga
The Footlab AI model makes Auda the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for FS Jelgava. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Auda vs FS Jelgava?
Auda starts as the favourite with a 236-point Elo edge (1,813 vs 1,577).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Auda vs FS Jelgava
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Auda
4-3-3- 47K. Kone
- 7A. Appiah
- 23Mahamoud Fofana
- 25B. Diedhiou
- 8E. Bongemba
- 17E. Dašķevičs
- 4M. Ouedraogo
- 3D. Balodis
- 71O. Rubenis
- 6R. Kragliks
- 98N. Puriņš
FS Jelgava
3-4-2-1- 20G. Patika
- 11M. Hašek
- 24Filip Hašek
- 29G. Žaleiko
- 22M. Pudil
- 23Ādams Dreimanis
- 28A. Deklavs
- 27Kristers Neilands
- 4A. Kangars
- 19A. Pētersons
- 1A. Dvorak
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 10:50 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Auda have 10 wins, 4 draws and 1 defeat; FS Jelgava have 5, 1 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 3-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Rīgas FS(home) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Ogre United(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Riga(away) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Grobiņa(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Rīgas FS(away) | 2-4 | Virsliga |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Riga(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Grobiņa(away) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Super Nova(home) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 4-1 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Auda wins, 2 draws, 1 FS Jelgava win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | FS Jelgava 0-1 Auda | Virsliga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Auda 1-1 FS Jelgava | Virsliga |
| Apr 21, 2026 | FS Jelgava 2-3 Auda | Virsliga |
| Sep 27, 2025 | FS Jelgava 1-1 Auda | Virsliga |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Auda 2-0 FS Jelgava | Virsliga |
| May 15, 2025 | FS Jelgava 3-1 Auda | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Auda score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; FS Jelgava score 1.4 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auda | 1.7 | 1.0 | 7 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| FS Jelgava | 1.4 | 1.5 | 2 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Auda sit 3rd in Virsliga (64 points from 32 matches) and FS Jelgava sit 7th (32 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Auda | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 64 |
| 7 | FS Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 53 | 32 |
A question about Auda vs FS Jelgava?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Auda vs FS Jelgava?
- The Footlab AI model makes Auda the favourite at 62%, against 22% for a draw and 16% for FS Jelgava.
- Where and when is Auda vs FS Jelgava played?
- Auda vs FS Jelgava is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Mežaparks Sports Village, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.