Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)LNK Sporta Parks (dabīgais), Rīga (Riga)
The Footlab AI model makes Rīgas FS the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Grobiņa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 1,754 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
Rīgas FS is a heavy favourite: 1,958 Elo points against 1,523, a 435-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rīgas FS
4-2-3-1- 15R. Ndjiki
- 18D. Zelenkovs
- 26S. Panić
- 8L. Odisharia
- 66M. Saidy
- 10J. Ikaunieks
- 23H. Prenga
- 43Ž. Lipušček
- 99S. Kumater
- 6A. Filipović
- 1R. Matrevics
Grobiņa
4-4-2- 99A. Puzirevskis
- 13A. Aruna
- 6M. Corryn
- 87J. Ribeiro
- 88I. Tyshchenko
- 11O. Raščevskis
- 15A. Jovanović
- 3D. Družiņins
- 27R. Baravykas
- 2K. Rupeiks
- 21R. Ozols
Computed on October 9, 2026 at 01:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rīgas FS have 8 wins, 4 draws and 3 defeats; Grobiņa have 3, 4 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Auda(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 13, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(away) | 2-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 7, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 3, 2026 | Riga(home) | 2-3 | Cup |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ogre United(away) | 3-0 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 1-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 12, 2026 | FS Jelgava(home) | 0-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Aug 29, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Aug 21, 2026 | FK Liepaja(away) | 1-3 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 6 Rīgas FS wins, 0 draws, 0 Grobiņa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 10, 2026 | Rīgas FS 6-1 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Grobiņa 1-3 Rīgas FS | Virsliga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Grobiņa 0-1 Rīgas FS | Virsliga |
| Jan 21, 2026 | Rīgas FS 3-2 Grobiņa | Friendlies Clubs |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Rīgas FS 5-0 Grobiņa | Virsliga |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Grobiņa 2-3 Rīgas FS | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Rīgas FS score 1.9 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Grobiņa score 0.8 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 65% probability of over 2.5 goals and 44% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS | 1.9 | 1.0 | 6 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
| Grobiņa | 0.8 | 1.7 | 4 | 6/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rīgas FS sit 1st in Virsliga (74 points from 30 matches) and Grobiņa sit 8th (26 points from 31 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rīgas FS | 30 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 71 | 22 | 74 |
| 8 | Grobiņa | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 21 | 52 | 26 |
A question about Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rīgas FS the favourite at 81%, against 13% for a draw and 6% for Grobiņa.
- Where and when is Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa played?
- Rīgas FS vs Grobiņa is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at LNK Sporta Parks (dabīgais), in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 65% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.