Ogre United vs Riga: prediction and stats
VirsligaRegular Season - 35Kick-off on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, Ogre
The Footlab AI model makes Riga the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Ogre United. The most likely score is 0-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ogre United vs Riga?
Riga is a heavy favourite: 2,037 Elo points against 1,465, a 573-point gap.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Ogre United vs Riga
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Ogre United
4-3-3- 22L. Estevez Fernandez
- 9J. Fokam-Sandeu
- 7I. Pūlis
- 30A. Doroshenko
- 8T. Mickēvičs
- 19K. Čudars
- 55A. Kudeļkins
- 13K. Gulbis
- 5R. Šibass
- 27A. Molotkovs
- 1Ņ. Parfjonovs
Riga
4-2-3-1- 10Reginaldo Ramires
- 18S. Oulad M'Hand
- 40A. Ankrah
- 22M. Diop
- 8Iago Siqueira Augusto
- 99Caio
- 5K. Wassom
- 23M. Toņiševs
- 17A. Salazar
- 34A. Černomordijs
- 12K. Pirić
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 01:45 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ogre United have 3 wins, 2 draws and 10 defeats; Riga have 9, 5 and 1.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | BFC Daugavpils(home) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Super Nova(home) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Auda(away) | 0-1 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | FK Liepaja(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 1-2 | Virsliga |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Tukums(away) | 2-0 | Virsliga |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Aris(away) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | FS Jelgava(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Super Nova(away) | 1-0 | Virsliga |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Auda(home) | 2-2 | Virsliga |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Ogre United wins, 0 draws, 3 Riga wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2026 | Riga 4-1 Ogre United | Virsliga |
| Jun 13, 2026 | Ogre United 1-4 Riga | Virsliga |
| Apr 22, 2026 | Riga 4-0 Ogre United | Virsliga |
How many goals should we expect?
Ogre United score 1.1 and concede 2.6 goals per match over their last 15; Riga score 1.9 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ogre United | 1.1 | 2.6 | 1 | 9/15 | 13/15 |
| Riga | 1.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ogre United sit 10th in Virsliga (18 points from 32 matches) and Riga sit 2nd (76 points from 32 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Riga | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 30 | 76 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 78 | 18 |
A question about Ogre United vs Riga?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ogre United vs Riga?
- The Footlab AI model makes Riga the favourite at 82%, against 12% for a draw and 6% for Ogre United.
- Where and when is Ogre United vs Riga played?
- Ogre United vs Riga is played on November 1, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Ogres pilsētas ģimnāzija, in the Virsliga.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.