Austin vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 34Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas
The Footlab AI model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Austin. The most likely score is 1-1. If Portland Timbers wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,484 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austin vs Portland Timbers?
A very open match: only 64 Elo points separate Austin (1,777) and Portland Timbers (1,842).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Austin vs Portland Timbers
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Austin
3-4-3- 9B. Vázquez
- 11F. Torres
- 21C. Ramirez
- 17J. Gallagher
- 24Jorge Alastuey
- 14B. Šabović
- 38Ervin Torres
- 29Guilherme Biro
- 3M. Desler
- 6Ilie Sánchez
- 12D. Las
Portland Timbers
4-3-3- 99K. Velde
- 7A. Lassiter
- 14V. Janssen
- 10David Pereira da Costa
- 73Eric Izoita
- 30J. Caicedo
- 12R. Hernández
- 2J. Waterman
- 27J. Fory
- 4K. Miller
- 41J. Pantemis
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 12:52 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Portland Timbers have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 1-4 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 29, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Vancouver Whitecaps(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 2026 | Houston Dynamo(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 29, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 25, 2026 | Charlotte(home) | 3-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 18, 2026 | Colorado Rapids(home) | 0-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 15, 2026 | Los Angeles Galaxy(away) | 0-2 | Major League Soccer |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Austin wins, 1 draw, 3 Portland Timbers wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 2026 | Portland Timbers 1-2 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Austin 0-0 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Portland Timbers 1-0 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Portland Timbers 0-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| May 30, 2024 | Austin 0-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Austin 1-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Portland Timbers vs Austin on Aug 30, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 1.8 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 67% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1 | 13/15 | 10/15 |
| Portland Timbers | 1.8 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (34 points from 33 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 8th (43 points from 33 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 60 | 61 | 43 |
| 14 | Austin | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 42 | 63 | 34 |
A question about Austin vs Portland Timbers?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austin vs Portland Timbers?
- The Footlab AI model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 43%, against 23% for a draw and 34% for Austin.
- Where and when is Austin vs Portland Timbers played?
- Austin vs Portland Timbers is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 67% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
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