Austin vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas
The Footlab model makes Austin the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Portland Timbers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Austin vs Portland Timbers?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Austin (1,729) and Portland Timbers (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Portland Timbers have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Philadelphia Union(home) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Austin win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Portland Timbers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Austin 0-0 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Portland Timbers 1-0 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Portland Timbers 0-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| May 30, 2024 | Austin 0-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Austin 1-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| May 7, 2023 | Portland Timbers 2-2 Austin | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Austin vs Portland Timbers on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin | 1.3 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 9/15 |
| Portland Timbers | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 12/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 9th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 37 | 28 |
| 14 | Austin | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | 21 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Austin vs Portland Timbers?
- The Footlab model makes Austin the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Portland Timbers.
- Where and when is Austin vs Portland Timbers played?
- Austin vs Portland Timbers is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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