Match

Austin vs Portland Timbers: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 37Kick-off on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC)Q2 Stadium, Austin, Texas

AustinPortland Timbers

The Footlab model makes Austin the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Portland Timbers. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Austin vs Portland Timbers?

A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Austin (1,729) and Portland Timbers (1,787).

Austin win38 %
Draw25 %
Portland Timbers win37 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Austin have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Portland Timbers have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Austin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Philadelphia Union(home)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026FC Dallas(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026Club America(away)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Puebla(home)3-0Leagues Cup
Portland Timbers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Los Angeles FC(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026San Diego(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Chicago Fire(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026Club Tijuana(home)3-1Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Club America(away)1-3Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Austin win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Portland Timbers win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2025Austin 0-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025Portland Timbers 1-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024Portland Timbers 0-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
May 30, 2024Austin 0-2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
Sep 18, 2023Austin 1-2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
May 7, 2023Portland Timbers 2-2 AustinMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Austin vs Portland Timbers on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 62% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Austin1.31.547/159/15
Portland Timbers2.31.6112/1512/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Austin sit 14th in Major League Soccer (21 points from 21 matches) and Portland Timbers sit 9th (28 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Portland Timbers21849383728
14Austin215610264021

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Austin vs Portland Timbers?
The Footlab model makes Austin the favourite at 38%, against 25% for a draw and 37% for Portland Timbers.
Where and when is Austin vs Portland Timbers played?
Austin vs Portland Timbers is played on November 8, 2026 at 12:00 AM (UTC) at Q2 Stadium, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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