Portland Timbers vs Austin: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Providence Park, Portland, Oregon
The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Austin. The most likely score is 2-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Portland Timbers vs Austin?
A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Portland Timbers (1,819) and Austin (1,765).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Timbers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Austin have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | San Diego(home) | 3-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chicago Fire(away) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-3 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 5-2 | Leagues Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 2026 | Seattle Sounders(away) | 2-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 17, 2026 | FC Dallas(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Club America(away) | 1-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Puebla(home) | 3-0 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Club Tijuana(home) | 2-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Portland Timbers win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Austin win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 5, 2025 | Austin 0-0 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Mar 2, 2025 | Portland Timbers 1-0 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| Oct 3, 2024 | Portland Timbers 0-1 Austin | Major League Soccer |
| May 30, 2024 | Austin 0-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 18, 2023 | Austin 1-2 Portland Timbers | Major League Soccer |
| May 7, 2023 | Portland Timbers 2-2 Austin | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Austin vs Portland Timbers on Apr 5, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1 | 12/15 | 13/15 |
| Austin | 1.3 | 1.7 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Portland Timbers sit 9th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 20 matches) and Austin sit 14th (20 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 37 | 36 | 27 |
| 14 | Austin | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 39 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Austin?
- The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Austin.
- Where and when is Portland Timbers vs Austin played?
- Portland Timbers vs Austin is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Aug 29, 2026Seattle SoundersvsChicago Fire
- Aug 29, 2026Toronto FCvsNew York City FC
- Aug 29, 2026New York Red BullsvsPhiladelphia Union
- Aug 29, 2026Atlanta United FCvsCharlotte
- Aug 29, 2026Columbus CrewvsNew England Revolution
- Aug 29, 2026DC UnitedvsLos Angeles FC
- Aug 29, 2026Inter MiamivsCF Montreal
- Aug 30, 2026Houston DynamovsSan Jose Earthquakes