Match

Portland Timbers vs Austin: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 25Kick-off on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC)Providence Park, Portland, Oregon

Portland TimbersAustin

The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Austin. The most likely score is 2-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 21, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Portland Timbers vs Austin?

A very open match: only 54 Elo points separate Portland Timbers (1,819) and Austin (1,765).

Portland Timbers win65 %
Draw20 %
Austin win15 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Portland Timbers have 8 wins, 2 draws and 5 defeats; Austin have 6, 2 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Portland Timbers
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026San Diego(home)3-1Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Chicago Fire(away)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026Club Tijuana(home)3-1Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Club America(away)1-3Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026Puebla(home)5-2Leagues Cup
Austin
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 20, 2026Seattle Sounders(away)2-1Major League Soccer
Aug 17, 2026FC Dallas(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 14, 2026Club America(away)1-1Leagues Cup
Aug 10, 2026Puebla(home)3-0Leagues Cup
Aug 7, 2026Club Tijuana(home)2-0Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Portland Timbers win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Austin win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 5, 2025Austin 0-0 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
Mar 2, 2025Portland Timbers 1-0 AustinMajor League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024Portland Timbers 0-1 AustinMajor League Soccer
May 30, 2024Austin 0-2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
Sep 18, 2023Austin 1-2 Portland TimbersMajor League Soccer
May 7, 2023Portland Timbers 2-2 AustinMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Austin vs Portland Timbers on Apr 5, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Portland Timbers score 2.3 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Austin score 1.3 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Portland Timbers2.31.6112/1513/15
Austin1.31.747/1510/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Portland Timbers sit 9th in Major League Soccer (27 points from 20 matches) and Austin sit 14th (20 points from 20 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Portland Timbers20839373627
14Austin205510253920

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Portland Timbers vs Austin?
The Footlab model makes Portland Timbers the favourite at 65%, against 20% for a draw and 15% for Austin.
Where and when is Portland Timbers vs Austin played?
Portland Timbers vs Austin is played on August 30, 2026 at 02:30 AM (UTC) at Providence Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Portland Timbers and Austin

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