Match

Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa: prediction and stats

J1 LeagueRegular Season - 5Kick-off on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC)Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa FukuokaUrawa

The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Urawa. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa?

A very open match: only 7 Elo points separate Avispa Fukuoka (1,926) and Urawa (1,932).

Avispa Fukuoka win45 %
Draw25 %
Urawa win29 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Avispa Fukuoka have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Urawa have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Avispa Fukuoka
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Kashima(away)2-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Cerezo Osaka(home)3-0J1 League
Aug 8, 2026Vissel Kobe(home)0-1J1 League
Jul 19, 2026Osaka(home)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jun 6, 2026JEF United Chiba(away)2-1J1 League
Urawa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 26, 2026Yamanashi Gakuin(home)3-0Emperor Cup
Aug 23, 2026Machida Zelvia(away)1-3J1 League
Aug 15, 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home)1-4J1 League
Aug 7, 2026Gamba Osaka(away)3-4J1 League
Aug 1, 2026Omiya Ardija(home)2-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Avispa Fukuoka win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Urawa win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 27, 2025Urawa 0-0 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Apr 6, 2025Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Nov 30, 2024Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 UrawaJ1 League
Mar 30, 2024Urawa 2-1 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Nov 25, 2023Urawa 2-3 Avispa FukuokaJ1 League
Nov 4, 2023Avispa Fukuoka 2-1 UrawaJ-League Cup

Last archived meeting: Urawa vs Avispa Fukuoka on Jul 27, 2025

How many goals should we expect?

Avispa Fukuoka score 1.5 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Urawa score 1.7 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Avispa Fukuoka1.51.3210/158/15
Urawa1.71.758/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Urawa sit 19th (0 points from 3 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Avispa Fukuoka3102543
19Urawa30035110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa?
The Footlab model makes Avispa Fukuoka the favourite at 45%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Urawa.
Where and when is Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa played?
Avispa Fukuoka vs Urawa is played on September 2, 2026 at 10:00 AM (UTC) at Best Denki Stadium, in the J1 League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Avispa Fukuoka and Urawa

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