Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka: prediction and stats
J1 LeagueRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC)Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, Kawasaki
The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Avispa Fukuoka. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?
A very open match: only 35 Elo points separate Kawasaki Frontale (1,961) and Avispa Fukuoka (1,926).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Kawasaki Frontale have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Avispa Fukuoka have 5, 6 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Kyoto Sanga(home) | 2-2 | J1 League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Tokyo Verdy(away) | 1-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 16, 2026 | Vanraure Hachinohe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Kashima(away) | 2-3 | J1 League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cerezo Osaka(home) | 3-0 | J1 League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Vissel Kobe(home) | 0-1 | J1 League |
| Jul 19, 2026 | Osaka(home) | 3-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jun 6, 2026 | JEF United Chiba(away) | 2-1 | J1 League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Kawasaki Frontale win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Avispa Fukuoka win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 2025 | Kawasaki Frontale 2-5 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| Feb 26, 2025 | Avispa Fukuoka 1-2 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Dec 8, 2024 | Kawasaki Frontale 3-1 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| May 6, 2024 | Avispa Fukuoka 1-1 Kawasaki Frontale | J1 League |
| Oct 20, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 Avispa Fukuoka | J1 League |
| Oct 8, 2023 | Kawasaki Frontale 4-2 Avispa Fukuoka | Emperor Cup |
Last archived meeting: Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka on Aug 9, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Kawasaki Frontale score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Avispa Fukuoka score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kawasaki Frontale | 0.9 | 1.2 | 2 | 8/15 | 5/15 |
| Avispa Fukuoka | 1.5 | 1.3 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Kawasaki Frontale sit 14th in J1 League (3 points from 3 matches) and Avispa Fukuoka sit 12th (3 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka?
- The Footlab model makes Kawasaki Frontale the favourite at 41%, against 26% for a draw and 33% for Avispa Fukuoka.
- Where and when is Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka played?
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Avispa Fukuoka is played on November 21, 2026 at 11:00 AM (UTC) at Uvance Todoroki Stadium by Fujitsu, in the J1 League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Nov 21, 2026Kashiwa ReysolvsJEF United Chiba
- Nov 21, 2026Sanfrecce HiroshimavsYokohama F. Marinos
- Nov 21, 2026Vissel KobevsMito Hollyhock
- Nov 21, 2026KashimavsShimizu S-pulse
- Nov 21, 2026Cerezo OsakavsFC Tokyo
- Nov 21, 2026Gamba OsakavsFagiano Okayama
- Nov 21, 2026Kyoto SangavsUrawa
- Nov 21, 2026Machida ZelviavsV-varen Nagasaki