Azam vs Mashujaa: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Azam Complex Stadium, Mbagala
The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Mashujaa. The most likely score is 2-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Azam vs Mashujaa?
Azam starts as the favourite with a 272-point Elo edge (1,850 vs 1,579).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Azam vs Mashujaa
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Azam
4-3-3- 27H. Mubiru
- 7Z. Sereri
- 19G. Sillah
- 23H. Mao
- 10K. Zunon
- 6F. Salum
- 5L. Mwaikenda
- 12P. Msindo
- 22H. Stanic
- 2N. Idumba
- 32Z. Foba
Mashujaa
4-3-3- 45Michael Joseph
- 7C. Mhagama
- 17M. Vuai
- 27S. Madeleke
- 54H. Lidah
- 6B. Mtuwi
- 3H. Lyawatwa
- 20M. Mwakinyuke
- 4S. Onditi
- 14J. Machela
- 43M. Malik
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:28 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azam have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Mashujaa have 6, 1 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2026 | Coastal Union(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Simba(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Namungo(home) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(away) | 2-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Geita Gold(away) | 2-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | Simba(away) | 1-6 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 8, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Kagera Sugar(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Azam wins, 3 draws, 0 Mashujaa wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 16, 2026 | Azam 2-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Mashujaa 0-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 15, 2025 | Azam 2-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Mashujaa 0-0 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Azam 0-0 Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Mashujaa 0-3 Azam | Ligi kuu Bara |
How many goals should we expect?
Azam score 1.7 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Mashujaa score 0.9 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Azam | 1.7 | 0.7 | 9 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| Mashujaa | 0.9 | 1.3 | 3 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Azam sit 3rd in Ligi kuu Bara (17 points from 8 matches) and Mashujaa sit 4th (12 points from 7 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 12 |
A question about Azam vs Mashujaa?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Azam vs Mashujaa?
- The Footlab AI model makes Azam the favourite at 77%, against 17% for a draw and 6% for Mashujaa.
- Where and when is Azam vs Mashujaa played?
- Azam vs Mashujaa is played on October 24, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Azam Complex Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.