Namungo vs Coastal Union: prediction and stats
Ligi kuu BaraRegular Season - 9Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC)Majaliwa Stadium, Ruangwa
The Footlab AI model makes Namungo the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Coastal Union. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,859 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Namungo vs Coastal Union?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Namungo (1,582) and Coastal Union (1,615).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Namungo vs Coastal Union
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Namungo
4-3-3- 23H. Lukindo
- 11R. Chambo
- 21G. Matiko
- 12H. Swalehe
- 6G. Rogers
- 22N. Kapama
- 25J. Shemvuni
- 5F. Magingi
- 6S. Nsajigwa
- 50H. Msati
- 18A. Suleiman
Coastal Union
4-3-3- 9M. M. Maabad
- 69N. Mussa
- 25S. Kichuya
- 16G. Manyasi
- 13K. Gradi
- 34S. Mwanza
- 26R. Aidan
- 5A. A. Msangi
- 4A. Laurent
- 59Adam Arafat
- 18C. Ramadhani
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 02:13 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Namungo have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Coastal Union have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2026 | Tabora United(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Dodoma Jiji(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Azam(away) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(away) | 2-3 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 29, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(away) | 1-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Singida Black Stars(home) | 1-0 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Oct 9, 2026 | Azam(home) | 0-2 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 12, 2026 | JKT Tanzania(home) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Polisi Tanzania(away) | 2-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Aug 27, 2026 | Simba(away) | 0-1 | Ligi kuu Bara |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Namungo wins, 3 draws, 0 Coastal Union wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2026 | Coastal Union 1-1 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Namungo 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Feb 23, 2025 | Namungo 0-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Sep 17, 2024 | Coastal Union 0-2 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Apr 17, 2024 | Namungo 1-0 Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara |
| Nov 1, 2023 | Coastal Union 0-0 Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara |
Last archived meeting: Coastal Union vs Namungo on Jun 12, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Namungo score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Coastal Union score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Namungo | 1.0 | 1.3 | 5 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Coastal Union | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Namungo sit 11th in Ligi kuu Bara (9 points from 8 matches) and Coastal Union sit 10th (10 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 9 |
A question about Namungo vs Coastal Union?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Namungo vs Coastal Union?
- The Footlab AI model makes Namungo the favourite at 47%, against 30% for a draw and 23% for Coastal Union.
- Where and when is Namungo vs Coastal Union played?
- Namungo vs Coastal Union is played on October 24, 2026 at 05:30 PM (UTC) at Majaliwa Stadium, in the Ligi kuu Bara.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.