Where and when is Azerbaijan U17 vs Lithuania U17 played?

Azerbaijan U17 vs Lithuania U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Azerbaijan U17 vs Lithuania U17: prediction and stats

UEFA U17 Championship - QualificationGroup Stage - 1Kick-off on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)

Azerbaijan U17

Lithuania U17

The Footlab model makes Azerbaijan U17 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Lithuania U17. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Azerbaijan U17 vs Lithuania U17?

Lithuania U17 starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,404 vs 1,272).

Azerbaijan U17 win39 %

Draw23 %

Lithuania U17 win38 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Azerbaijan U17 have 1 wins, 6 draws and 8 defeats; Lithuania U17 have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Azerbaijan U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2026	Malta U17(home)	2-2	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Lithuania U17(away)	0-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 24, 2026	Bulgaria U17(away)	1-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 14, 2025	Romania U17(home)	1-5	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 11, 2025	Israel U17(away)	1-5	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Lithuania U17
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Mar 30, 2026	Bulgaria U17(home)	0-3	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 27, 2026	Azerbaijan U17(home)	0-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Mar 24, 2026	Malta U17(away)	3-1	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Nov 3, 2025	Scotland U17(away)	1-4	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification
Oct 31, 2025	England U17(away)	1-0	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Azerbaijan U17 win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Lithuania U17 win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Mar 27, 2026	Lithuania U17 0-0 Azerbaijan U17	UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification

Last archived meeting: Lithuania U17 vs Azerbaijan U17 on Mar 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Azerbaijan U17 score 1.1 and concede 2.8 goals per match over their last 15; Lithuania U17 score 1.6 and concede 2.0. The model gives a 70% probability of over 2.5 goals and 71% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Azerbaijan U17	1.1	2.8	3	8/15	10/15
Lithuania U17	1.6	2.0	3	10/15	11/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Azerbaijan U17 sit 3rd in UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification (3 points from 3 matches) and Lithuania U17 sit 2nd (4 points from 3 matches).

2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Lithuania U17	3	1	1	1	3	4	4
3	Azerbaijan U17	3	0	3	0	3	3	3

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Azerbaijan U17 vs Lithuania U17?: The Footlab model makes Azerbaijan U17 the favourite at 39%, against 23% for a draw and 38% for Lithuania U17.
Where and when is Azerbaijan U17 vs Lithuania U17 played?: Azerbaijan U17 vs Lithuania U17 is played on November 17, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC), in the UEFA U17 Championship - Qualification.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 70% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.