Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 28Kick-off on April 2, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC)Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, Port Talbot
The Footlab AI model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Baglan Dragons. The most likely score is 1-1. If Pontardawe Town wins, the most likely score is 1-2.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.6% of the 2,541 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 17, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town?
A very open match: only 4 Elo points separate Baglan Dragons (1,546) and Pontardawe Town (1,550).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Baglan Dragons
Not enough data to predict the Baglan Dragons lineup.
Pontardawe Town
4-3-3- RR. Booth
- LL. Reed
- JJ. Dorward
- RR. Kostromin
- AA. Legavec
- CC. Dolman
- CC. Davies
- TT. Georgievsky
- HH. Lawson
- JJ. Dolman
- SS. Reeve
Computed on October 17, 2026 at 03:12 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Baglan Dragons have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Pontardawe Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 2, 2026 | llanelli AFC(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Afan Lido(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Llantwit Major(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 6-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Swansea University(away) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Baglan Dragons win, 1 draw, 1 Pontardawe Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons 1-2 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
| Jul 29, 2023 | Pontardawe Town 1-2 Baglan Dragons | FAW Championship |
| Sep 17, 2022 | Baglan Dragons 1-1 Pontardawe Town | Welsh Cup |
Last archived meeting: Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town on Apr 20, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Baglan Dragons score 0.9 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Pontardawe Town score 1.5 and concede 2.2. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baglan Dragons | 0.9 | 1.5 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Pontardawe Town | 1.5 | 2.2 | 1 | 8/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Baglan Dragons sit 5th in FAW Championship (17 points from 11 matches) and Pontardawe Town sit 12th (10 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Baglan Dragons | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 17 |
| 12 | Pontardawe Town | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 10 |
A question about Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Pontardawe Town the favourite at 40%, against 26% for a draw and 34% for Baglan Dragons.
- Where and when is Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town played?
- Baglan Dragons vs Pontardawe Town is played on April 2, 2027 at 06:30 PM (UTC) at Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.6% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.