Match

Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats

FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea

Pontardawe TownPontypridd Town

The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Pontardawe Town. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town?

Pontypridd Town starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,600 vs 1,469).

Pontardawe Town win37 %
Draw23 %
Pontypridd Town win40 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 9, 3 and 3.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Pontardawe Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Afan Lido(away)0-1FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Newport City(home)0-4FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Pontypridd Town(away)2-3FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Caerphilly Athletic(home)3-0FAW Championship
Apr 20, 2024Baglan Dragons(away)2-1FAW Championship
Pontypridd Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Trethomas Bluebirds(home)2-1FAW Championship
Aug 15, 2026Cardiff Draconians(away)4-1FAW Championship
Aug 7, 2026Pontardawe Town(home)3-2FAW Championship
Aug 1, 2026Treowen Stars(away)3-2FAW Championship
Apr 18, 2026Caerau (Ely)(home)0-0FAW Championship

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Pontardawe Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pontypridd Town win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 7, 2026Pontypridd Town 3-2 Pontardawe TownFAW Championship

Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Pontardawe Town on Aug 7, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Pontardawe Town1.32.137/1510/15
Pontypridd Town2.11.6410/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Pontypridd Town440012612
13Pontardawe Town4103583

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town?
The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Pontardawe Town.
Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town played?
Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Pontardawe Town and Pontypridd Town

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