Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 29Kick-off on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Parc Ynysderw, Swansea
The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Pontardawe Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town?
Pontypridd Town starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,600 vs 1,469).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Pontardawe Town have 3 wins, 5 draws and 7 defeats; Pontypridd Town have 9, 3 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Newport City(home) | 0-4 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 2-3 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(home) | 3-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 20, 2024 | Baglan Dragons(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(away) | 4-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontardawe Town(home) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Pontardawe Town win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Pontypridd Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 2026 | Pontypridd Town 3-2 Pontardawe Town | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Pontypridd Town vs Pontardawe Town on Aug 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Pontardawe Town score 1.3 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Pontypridd Town score 2.1 and concede 1.6. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 69% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pontardawe Town | 1.3 | 2.1 | 3 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Pontypridd Town | 2.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Pontardawe Town sit 13th in FAW Championship (3 points from 4 matches) and Pontypridd Town sit 2nd (12 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pontypridd Town | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 12 |
| 13 | Pontardawe Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town?
- The Footlab model makes Pontypridd Town the favourite at 40%, against 23% for a draw and 37% for Pontardawe Town.
- Where and when is Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town played?
- Pontardawe Town vs Pontypridd Town is played on April 10, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Parc Ynysderw, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Apr 9, 2027Afan LidovsTreowen Stars
- Apr 9, 2027Caerau (Ely)vsCaerphilly Athletic
- Apr 10, 2027Carmarthen Townvsllanelli AFC
- Apr 10, 2027Swansea UniversityvsNewport City
- Apr 10, 2027Cardiff DraconiansvsLlantwit Major
- Apr 10, 2027Ynyshir AlbionsvsBaglan Dragons
- Apr 10, 2027Trethomas BluebirdsvsAberystwyth Town