Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
Aberystwyth Town starts as the favourite with a 130-point Elo edge (1,577 vs 1,448).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Llantwit Major(home) | 5-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Treowen Stars(home) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Afan Lido(away) | 5-2 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions(away) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Cwmbran Celtic(away) | 1-3 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 1-2 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cardiff Draconians(home) | 1-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Aberystwyth Town(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Apr 4, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(away) | 0-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aberystwyth Town win(s), 1 draw(s), 0 Ynyshir Albions win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions 0-0 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town 4-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 1.5 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.1 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 1.5 | 1.6 | 4 | 7/15 | 10/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.1 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 6th in FAW Championship (6 points from 3 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 9th (4 points from 3 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | 6 |
| 9 | Ynyshir Albions | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
- The Footlab model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ynyshir Albions.
- Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions played?
- Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 61% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.