Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions: prediction and stats
FAW ChampionshipSouth - 28Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC)Park Avenue, Aberystwyth, Ceredigion
The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ynyshir Albions. The most likely score is 1-1. If Aberystwyth Town wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 3,075 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
Aberystwyth Town starts as the favourite with a 120-point Elo edge (1,668 vs 1,548).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Aberystwyth Town
Not enough data to predict the Aberystwyth Town lineup.
Ynyshir Albions
Not enough data to predict the Ynyshir Albions lineup.
Computed on October 23, 2026 at 08:25 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Aberystwyth Town have 7 wins, 3 draws and 5 defeats; Ynyshir Albions have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Prestatyn Town(home) | 5-1 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Caerau (Ely)(home) | 0-1 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Pontypridd Town(away) | 3-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 25, 2026 | Swansea University(home) | 0-0 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Caerphilly Athletic(away) | 3-2 | FAW Championship |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | Cardiff MET(away) | 0-4 | Welsh Cup |
| Oct 10, 2026 | llanelli AFC(home) | 6-2 | FAW Championship |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Treowen Stars(away) | 2-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Trethomas Bluebirds(home) | 1-1 | FAW Championship |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Carmarthen Town(away) | 2-2 | FAW Championship |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Aberystwyth Town win, 1 draw, 0 Ynyshir Albions wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2026 | Ynyshir Albions 0-0 Aberystwyth Town | FAW Championship |
| Nov 22, 2025 | Aberystwyth Town 4-0 Ynyshir Albions | FAW Championship |
Last archived meeting: Ynyshir Albions vs Aberystwyth Town on Apr 18, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Aberystwyth Town score 2.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Ynyshir Albions score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aberystwyth Town | 2.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Ynyshir Albions | 1.2 | 1.4 | 5 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Aberystwyth Town sit 3rd in FAW Championship (19 points from 9 matches) and Ynyshir Albions sit 6th (16 points from 9 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Aberystwyth Town | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 9 | 19 |
| 6 | Ynyshir Albions | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 15 | 9 | 16 |
A question about Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions?
- The Footlab AI model makes Aberystwyth Town the favourite at 56%, against 24% for a draw and 20% for Ynyshir Albions.
- Where and when is Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions played?
- Aberystwyth Town vs Ynyshir Albions is played on April 3, 2027 at 01:30 PM (UTC) at Park Avenue, in the FAW Championship.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.